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In all TL's where China "pulls a Meiji" and achieves its true potential as a world superpower by the early 20th Century, the scenario almost always involves the overthrow of the decadent Qing and its replacement by another dynasty. But what POD's (go back as early as you want) have to take place in order for China to "pull a Meiji" or become a military and economic Great Power by the first half of the 20th Century, but under the leadership of the House of Aisin-Goro?