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Supposing, with a mid-1914 PoD,* the Great War is averted, and does not break out for at least the next few years: How does Russia fare in this time? Do they remain the fastest growing economy in Europe, grow the army, etc? More importantly, what of the stability of the state and ancien regime? Would Russia have had a revolution were it not for the War?

Many have said "no", pointing to the modernization and growth discussed above, praising the land reforms of Stolypin, and making other points besides. But what I think these answers tend to overlook are the roughly three years following Stolypin's assassination (late 1911 to early 1914) which saw labor strikes and strife sweeping the country, the growth of the radical right (e.g. the Beilis Affair), and the Tsar was becoming more dismissive of the Duma in governing the country (e.g. the Goremykin appointment). As it is, the Tsar had multiple advisors pleading for caution during the July Crisis, predicting that a single push would be the end of the monarchy; that doesn't speak well to prospects of Tsarist survival even absent the war.

But what do you guys think?

*Franz Ferdinand isn't killed, July Crisis is resolved, etc
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