Assuming through of combination of butterflies ww1 could be avoided up to the modern day, what would be the likely long term general political evolution of the Russian Empire? PoD being 1914 and no carte blanche to Austria from Germany, and a more moderate ultimatum which serbia accepts.
Would the house of Romanov be able to make needed reforms?
If not what replaces it, or is it able to cling on while Russia becomes ever more of a basket case.
Assuming either the romanovs are able to reform or some regime who has the will to reform comes to power:
What would Russian federalism likely look like if it comes into being at all?
How would Russification develop?
How will Russian industrialization and agriculture look without ww1 and Stalin?
Without the communists how will education and health develop?