I imagine Russia would continue growing about as fast as the other European nations as well as Japan and the United States at around 2% per year. In 1913, according to the late Angus Maddison, Russia's gdp per capita was around 30% of the US level, that's a similar ratio as Mexico. It's possible however that Russia could decide to embark on a massive program of infrastructure building and education, in which case, there's no reason they couldn't catch up to Western European levels.How does the Russian economy develop without WW1?
Russia was, relative to Britain and America, stagnant. In 1913, their gdp per capita was 30% of the US level, the same as it was in 1870. That ratio is about the same as modern Mexico. History has shown that the only way for poor countries to pull ahead to global productivity frontier is massive investment in education and infrastructure (think West Germany, Japan, Spain, South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore, China etc.)Its been some years since I looked into this, (and the notes are, after a remarriage and now divorce, well who the fuck knows where they are...) but IIRC, Russia was doing pretty well before WWI. The building of railways, the improvement of those already built, the increased harvests of grain and its exports, were helping pull Russia into modernity. W/O WWI, Russia would have, IMO, developed sooner into a first world status nation, which makes the senselessness of WWI all the more terrible.
Without checking the information you have presented, you have the Russians matching the rapid per capita growth of the US - something I seriously doubt the British were achieving. Over that same period, you would have also seen solid growth in Russian literacy - from a very low base. Prior to WW1 (circa 1910 I think) the Russians had signed off and had started to implement universal education, which was likely to have been fully in place by 1917. This would have made a profound difference in the ongoing development of the Russian industry/economy, but presented future challenges to the Russian administration.Russia was, relative to Britain and America, stagnant. In 1913, their gdp per capita was 30% of the US level, the same as it was in 1870. That ratio is about the same as modern Mexico. History has shown that the only way for poor countries to pull ahead to global productivity frontier is massive investment in education and infrastructure (think West Germany, Japan, Spain, South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore, China etc.)
They were. And this data comes from the late Angus Maddison, he was known for providing historical gdp data going all the way back to the birth of christ.Without checking the information you have presented, you have the Russians matching the rapid per capita growth of the US - something I seriously doubt the British were achieving