Looking for potential butterflies of World War 1 peace negotiations in which the Russians were allowed a seat at the table. So presume a collapse, as IOTL leading to same Provisional Government that was recognized by the Allies (March 1917). But inserting a POD that does not forestall the collapse of the majority of Russian military efforts, and that some form of the Provisional government survives such that after Allied victory they are allowed a seat at the table. So, no peace treaty with the Germans, and Russian attempts to remain within the Entente alliance while largely forced to concentrate all efforts on defeating Bolshevik forces internally.
For the sake of argument, something along the lines of a Kornilov led sweep of Bolshevik forces in Petrograd (Aug-17), that while keeping Provisional even 'white Russian' forces intact in Government circles, much of Russia still disintegrates into disorder to the effect that German forces largely remain victorious in the East, and large numbers are still transferred to the West for some type of actions in the West. Basically they sense and hold victory in the East, and come to same 1918 tactical conclusions. American numbers still ultimately become too much and Germany melts into basically an IOTL defeat. Provisional Russian forces have kept their recognition by Western powers, and either in name only or by retaining somewhat in control of Russian foreign policy, demand a seat in postwar matters.
Again, forgive the long winded opening, but on to the actual pressing question I pose. As mentioned ... after a similar/near OTL defeat of Germany, the victorious powers sit down at the same Paris conference, but now with seats for Russian delegates, legitimately held by heirs (remember, officially recognized IOTL March-17) of the Czarist government. What Geo-political ramifications result of Russia sitting in on the Treaty of Versailles.
Promises were of course offered on Constantinople. Are they allowed control over the straights? If so, how does this impact Greece war plans. Greece was able to essentially almost take much of Eastern Turkey alone (before squandering it). Will Turkey itself (Anatolia) be dismembered?
Assuming Russian stands with France on harsher (even than OTL) reparations, does Germany suffer even harder economic conditions.
How will the Polish question be addressed? Impact on German borders especially. If the Western powers insists on a Polish state, how will that impact Russo-German relations going forward if both have resentful border redraws.
Likewise, if other Russian ethnic groups break off (or by this time have broken off) do the Western powers recognize them, stand with promise and alliance with Russia, and in either case how will Germany look to take advantage of it.
What kind of relationship would a Yugoslavia have with a non-Soviet (albeit weakened) Russian/Slav power next door.
Does France align more closer to their Russian allies (more so now if some form of Republican government exists) thus not Britain. With Germany down, France might see a future where Franco-Russian partnership dominates continent. Not in conquest, just influence. How does Britain react? If America largely retreats back across the Atlantic, where and what does the UK turn to.
In short, there are more complications with Russia remaining in the war, especially given promises made by UK/France, than one would think. Many if not all of which would greatly impact how Germany behaves which of course impacts major global events. Looking for all thoughts.
For the sake of argument, something along the lines of a Kornilov led sweep of Bolshevik forces in Petrograd (Aug-17), that while keeping Provisional even 'white Russian' forces intact in Government circles, much of Russia still disintegrates into disorder to the effect that German forces largely remain victorious in the East, and large numbers are still transferred to the West for some type of actions in the West. Basically they sense and hold victory in the East, and come to same 1918 tactical conclusions. American numbers still ultimately become too much and Germany melts into basically an IOTL defeat. Provisional Russian forces have kept their recognition by Western powers, and either in name only or by retaining somewhat in control of Russian foreign policy, demand a seat in postwar matters.
Again, forgive the long winded opening, but on to the actual pressing question I pose. As mentioned ... after a similar/near OTL defeat of Germany, the victorious powers sit down at the same Paris conference, but now with seats for Russian delegates, legitimately held by heirs (remember, officially recognized IOTL March-17) of the Czarist government. What Geo-political ramifications result of Russia sitting in on the Treaty of Versailles.
Promises were of course offered on Constantinople. Are they allowed control over the straights? If so, how does this impact Greece war plans. Greece was able to essentially almost take much of Eastern Turkey alone (before squandering it). Will Turkey itself (Anatolia) be dismembered?
Assuming Russian stands with France on harsher (even than OTL) reparations, does Germany suffer even harder economic conditions.
How will the Polish question be addressed? Impact on German borders especially. If the Western powers insists on a Polish state, how will that impact Russo-German relations going forward if both have resentful border redraws.
Likewise, if other Russian ethnic groups break off (or by this time have broken off) do the Western powers recognize them, stand with promise and alliance with Russia, and in either case how will Germany look to take advantage of it.
What kind of relationship would a Yugoslavia have with a non-Soviet (albeit weakened) Russian/Slav power next door.
Does France align more closer to their Russian allies (more so now if some form of Republican government exists) thus not Britain. With Germany down, France might see a future where Franco-Russian partnership dominates continent. Not in conquest, just influence. How does Britain react? If America largely retreats back across the Atlantic, where and what does the UK turn to.
In short, there are more complications with Russia remaining in the war, especially given promises made by UK/France, than one would think. Many if not all of which would greatly impact how Germany behaves which of course impacts major global events. Looking for all thoughts.
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