Ross Perot wins in 1992?

Very possible, before he dropped out of the race he was leading in the polls. Of course his paranoia was legendary given his claims about the CIA trying to sabotage his daughter's wedding and he was known for being sort of erratic. His business also had sort of a sleazy reputation given his dealings with the Reagan administration and the low quality of the software IIRC. Those are pretty substantial negatives and the press hammered him on them. I think if he stayed in the race, picked a better running mate and/or various events turned out worse than OTL (i.e. economy, race riots, etc.) he could pull off a win.

But even if he did he'd be dealing with a hostile congress and two-party system, assuming he did attempt to pursue his agenda. But I'm somewhat skeptical he would especially given how much business he did with the Chinese in later years and the sort of pressure he'd be getting from the WTO, IMF, etc. not to pursue the sort of trade and monetary policies he wanted. Foreign policy would still be different given his focus on not antagonizing Russia though, I suspect the US would be less involved in the Balkans and more divided and paranoid than OTL's '90s overall.
 
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Long shot but could have happened if some combination of

1. Perot hid his crazyness a little more and didnt drop out of race due to black helicopters

2. He picked a better running mate- probably too early for Colin Powell, but some one similar

3. Quyale had another gaffe and/or Bush had a health scare

4. Clinton had more credible Bimbo eruption/ Hillary confirms one and leaves him
 
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A Perot-lead America isn't going to intervene in Bosnia/Kosovo. I'm expecting that to be an extra level of horrible, especially since I don't recall Russia or Europe being terribly interested in going in without the US. We'll see a lot of early noise about renewable, green energy and getting away from oil, but whether there's any real substance to it is highly debatable.

The question is whether the Reform Party was only a vehicle for Perot's presidential ambitions, or if he actually intended to create some sort of movement. Given his post-1992 dabblings, I'm leaning towards the latter. So how do the '94 midterms go? I don't see there being the conservative backlash and fear of one-party government that gave us Speaker Newt. But how many Reform congressthings do we get? enough to make a difference? My suspicion is that Perot will be too busy doing creepy things in the oval office to personally organize a party and campaign for them, but even 40 Reform people in the House and no absolute majorities will lead to all sorts of gridlock. Imagine the OTL shutdown, and realize there's no one in the House who necessarily can end it, even if they want to.
 
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