Ron Paul Revolution: An Election Night Timeline

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With the nomination of both Ron Paul AND Gary Johnson by the Republicans, many of the more conservative Republicans such as Rick Santorum and Mike Huckabee endorsed Virgil Goode
I have a few problems with this. First of all, Ron Paul probably has more in common with the Constitution Party than with any other (in fact, he endorsed Constitution Party nominee Chuck Baldwin in 2008). Ron Paul is not as libertarian as many think - he's all about conservative family values and such, he just doesn't believe they should be implemented on a federal level - and the Constitution Party has many differences with conservative Republicans like Santorum and Huckabee (most notably, its isolationist foreign policy contrasts with most right-wing Republicans' hawkishness). I can see some Republicans supporting an Evan McMullin-style conservative independent candidacy, but not the Constitution Party.
 
I have a few problems with this. First of all, Ron Paul probably has more in common with the Constitution Party than with any other (in fact, he endorsed Constitution Party nominee Chuck Baldwin in 2008). Ron Paul is not as libertarian as many think - he's all about conservative family values and such, he just doesn't believe they should be implemented on a federal level - and the Constitution Party has many differences with conservative Republicans like Santorum and Huckabee (most notably, its isolationist foreign policy contrasts with most right-wing Republicans' hawkishness). I can see some Republicans supporting an Evan McMullin-style conservative independent candidacy, but not the Constitution Party.
What would you think of the founding of a Conservative Party? I forgot about the Constitution Party's isolationism.
 
What would you think of the founding of a Conservative Party? I forgot about the Constitution Party's isolationism.
An anti-Paul conservative candidate would probably only launch their campaign after Paul secured the nomination, so they would probably run as an independent, since they wouldn't have the time to set up a party infrastructure and it's actually easier to get ballot access as an independent than as a member of a third party.

I'm not so sure about Santorum and Huckabee supporting a third party candidate (though, you did say it was a surprise, so it's not exactly impossible either) - after all, Ron Paul is the founder of the Tea Party movement, so they could probably overlook his civil libertarian policies and isolationism. I think that the people must disgruntled by Paul's nomination would be neoconservative establishment types, like the many of the people who endorsed Evan McMullin in 2016.
 
Yeah Goode is a paleoconservative like Paul, but may I recommend fiercely hawkish Congressman Peter King as an independent "True Conservative" or something like that?

Assuming Obama gets a primary, I'd imagine there is serious discontent with him. Are the Greens also doing a better?
 
An anti-Paul conservative candidate would probably only launch their campaign after Paul secured the nomination, so they would probably run as an independent, since they wouldn't have the time to set up a party infrastructure and it's actually easier to get ballot access as an independent than as a member of a third party.

I'm not so sure about Santorum and Huckabee supporting a third party candidate (though, you did say it was a surprise, so it's not exactly impossible either) - after all, Ron Paul is the founder of the Tea Party movement, so they could probably overlook his civil libertarian policies and isolationism. I think that the people must disgruntled by Paul's nomination would be neoconservative establishment types, like the many of the people who endorsed Evan McMullin in 2016.
Yeah Goode is a paleoconservative like Paul, but may I recommend fiercely hawkish Congressman Peter King as an independent "True Conservative" or something like that?

Assuming Obama gets a primary, I'd imagine there is serious discontent with him. Are the Greens also doing a better?
Peter King sounds good. Who would be a decent running mate for him? The Green Party is doing about as well as the Libertarian Party did in the general election this year.
 
Peter King sounds good. Who would be a decent running mate for him?
Someone probably Hawkish but also more Tea Party. One term Congressman Allen West used to represent me, and he was militantly anti-Paul. He might create some buzz. David French, Ambassador Bolton, etc, might all be good choices. Perhaps Lindsey Graham, though 2014 is on his mind.
 
WB: The polls have now closed in ten more states. This will bring the total for Representative Paul to 199 electoral votes, only 71 away from winning the Presidency. President Obama is still trailing, with a total of 124 electoral votes. Anderson, what are your thoughts?

AC: Thank you, Wolf. While, Representative Paul still holds a lead, President Obama has been slowly catching up. In South Carolina, King is still holding strong, with a very narrow lead. We know that his supporters are definitely excited about this. It's looking like this could go to the House of Representatives, something that hasn't happened since 1824.



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Barack Obama | Joe Biden: 124 EVs
Ron Paul | Gary Johnson: 199 EVs
 
WB: It is now 10:00, and the election is too close to call. Representative Paul's total has grown to 245 EVs, meanwhile, President Obama now has 186 EVs. Anderson, President Obama's path to reelection is becoming increasingly smaller.

AC: That's right, Wolf. Still to be called are the states of Alaska, California, Colorado, Hawaii, Iowa, Nevada, Oregon, Washington, and South Carolina. Now, Alaska, Iowa, and South Carolina aren't expected to go to the President. Meanwhile, California, Colorado, Nevada, Hawaii, and Washington are. This brings it all down to Oregon, where Obama has been narrowly leading. The polls there close at 1100, so let's wait for the results to come in.



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Barack Obama | Joe Biden: 186 EVs
Ron Paul | Gary Johnson: 245 EVs
 
WB: Big news here at CNN headquarters. President Obama has now taken a slight lead over Representative Paul, with a grand total now of 264 EVs. Representative Paul has a total of 251 EVs. Still to be called are Alaska, Hawaii, Oregon, and South Carolina. The polls have not yet closed in the states of Alaska and Hawaii, however, it appears that they will go to Paul and Obama respectively.

AC: And, in Oregon, Representative Paul holds a surprising lead. President Obama has been holding the lead throughout the election season, but it appears that the Green Party ticket has hurt them in this area. Now, moving to South Carolina, it appears that Paul has taken the lead, although narrowly.



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Barack Obama | Joe Biden: 264 EVs
Ron Paul | Gary Johnson: 251 EVs
 
WB: With polling in both Alaska and Hawaii closing, we can project that they will go to Paul and Obama respectively. In addition to that, we can now project that Oregon will go to Paul. This brings the total for President Obama to 268 EVs and for Representative Paul, it is now 261.

AC: It now appears that Peter King has taken the lead in South Carolina. CNN can now project that there is no path to 270 for President Obama. He has to hope for this election to go to the House of Representatives. Hold on - CNN has a major projection.



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Barack Obama | Joe Biden: 268 EVs
Ron Paul | Gary Johnson: 261 EVs
 
FYI I Paul was running and he was this close they would be acting like that Hitler is about to win. There would not be the sort of muted excitement I see in this timeline.
 
AC: We are now ready to project that Representative Peter King will win the state of South Carolina. That's right, the election will now go to the House of Representatives.

WB: Well, there goes King's political career. The House is controlled by the Republican Party, however, the Senate is narrowly controlled by the Democratic Party. A Paul/Biden administration could definitely be interesting.



General Election.png


Barack Obama | Joe Biden: 268 EVs, 45.3%
Ron Paul | Gary Johnson: 261 EVs, 45.6%
Peter King | Allen West: 9 EVs, 4.58%
Jill Stein | Cheri Honkala: 0 EVs, 4.1%
 
They would be ignoring Paul, talking about how he cannot win, say he is going to lose states only to pull it out at the last second. Think of the Trump Treatment times 10.
In this, I'm giving all news organizations the benefit of the doubt and have them all treat the candidates somewhat equally (unless they have opinion articles), so that we can avoid a debate that could get this shut down
 
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