Ron Paul Revolution: An Election Night Timeline

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The 2012 Election

WB:
Welcome to Election Night 2012! I'm Wolf Blitzer, and joining me tonight is Anderson Cooper. Anderson, how do the odds look for the candidates tonight?

AC: Well, Wolf, I think that this election is definitely going to be a close one. On the Democratic side, we have incumbent President Barack Obama. The President has faced a tough reelection challenge from Secretary Hillary Clinton, as well as a a failed raid on Osama Bin Laden's complex in Pakistan. This, combined with a failure to live up to many of his campaign promises has made him a easy target. On the Republican side is Representative Ron Paul. He suprised many with a win in both the Iowa and New Hampshire contests this year, leading to his eventual victory. However, many in the Republican establishment have failed to support him.

WB: I agree Anderson. President Obama is seen as an easy target for the Republican side, but the selection of Representative Paul combined with the Presidents charisma has made this election one of the closest in recent memory. Hold on, it seems that we are getting our first poll closings in Kentucky and Indiana...



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Barack Obama | Joe Biden



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Ron Paul | Gary Johnson
 
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How did Paul convince the GOP to nominate him AND Johnson?

Regardless,going to watch this closely. It seems very interesting.
 
Ron Paul could have won Iowa IOTL if it were not for the newsletters popping back up -- which they did because Paul refused to go on an interview with Hannity.

Rand Paul already has a reapproachment with Hannity. Perhaps a POD is that Rand convinces Ron to break bread with Hannity. Paul confronts the racialized newsletters early in his campaign, giving Hannity the exclusive. He throws Lew Rockwell under the boss, says he did the newsletter for the money and honestly did not pay attention to it. He is humiliated by it and wishes he can take it back. Then certain stories prop up like the young couple (biracial) who were refused help at a Texas hospital, so Ron Paul worked on his wife for free. Months later, the whole newsletter thing is old news.

Ron Paul wins Iowa, and all the news stations (other than Hannity, similar to the Trump situation) say he cannot win and he's a quixiotic figure. Then he stuns the world and wins New Hampshire. He's then third in South Carolina and generally does poor in southern states where Newt leads. Media makes Newt the "frontrunner" but he's a glass jaw. Ron Paul and Newt have roughly similar number of delegates by the end of it all, Newt with a slight lead. Come the actual convention, Paulite faithless electors swing Paul and he wins the nomination. The media is having a frenzy saying that this will all be Obama's coronation.

Have all of this, plus a major terrorist attack on Obama's watch shortly before the election and Paul can possibly have a path of victory much like Trumps...but this is being REALLY optimistic.
 
This will not be as big as Trump's victory.
This will not be as big as Trump's victory.
It cannot be, but it will have to be some close things for Paul to win it. Paul was not a trade protectionist, but he is against free trade treaties. He may be able to pull a Pennsylvania and even Virginia. Wisconsin is a dark horse simply because of Paul's doveish foreign policy may work with the progressive voters there.

One pretty much needs Paul to get 265 electoral votes or so. With luck, Paul stealth electors give him the victory...and the nation finds out why the electoral college exists.
 
WB: We can now project that Representative Paul will win the states of Indiana and Kentucky. No surprises there, Anderson. Indiana went to the Democrats last year, but with backlash against President Obama, they have once again become a safe Republican state. Kentucky, home of Representative Paul's son, Senator Rand Paul, last went the Democrats in 1996, staying reliably Republican ever since.

AC: That's right, Wolf. Now, let's look at the next states that are expected to close. In about 30 minutes, polls in Florida, Georgia, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Vermont, and Virginia are expected to close. Expected to stay in the Republican column are South Carolina and Georgia. South Carolina has voted Republican every year since 1980, and is expected to do so once more. The same goes for Georgia, last voting Democratic in 1992. And, in the Democratic column, Vermont is expected to be called early. This is a state which has gone strongly Democratic in the past few election seasons, and it doesn't look like that will change anytime soon.

WB: What people are really looking at, however, are the tossups. Florida, New Hampshire, and Virginia are expected to be close this election. Florida, last going Republican in 2004, is a major swing state in just about every election cycle. It will be tough for Representative Paul to win without this state. New Hampshire, last going Republican in 2000 although smaller has been shown to be a reliable swing state. Virginia, used to be a Republican state, but in recent years, it has moved more Democratic. This is definitely a state to watch. Now, let's wait for the next polls to close.



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Barack Obama | Joe Biden: 0 EVs
Ron Paul | Gary Johnson: 19 EVs
 
WB: Hello, and welcome back. Thank you for tuning into Election night 2012. At this hour, we can now project the state of Vermont for President Barack Obama. This narrows the lead that Representative Paul has, however, there are no surprises so far.

AC: Now, moving to Georgia, we can see that it is still too close to call, but Representative Paul does carry a small lead. In Florida, President Obama holds a small lead, as was expected. The same goes for Virginia, however, the President's lead is larger than in Florida. Now, in South Carolina- wait. What's this?

WB: It looks like President Obama is down to third place here trailing behind Representative Paul and Representative Peter King, running as an independent. With the nomination of both Ron Paul AND Gary Johnson by the Republicans, many of the more conservative Republicans such as David French and Allen West endorsed an independent ticket, surprising many. King was chosen as the Presidential contender, with West as his running mate.

AC: Although, King and West were polling high in some states, I think this came as a surprise to many. I think that Paul must be pretty glad that King is only going strong in the polls in a few, solidly Republican states. This has lead many to wonder if they might crack the 2-party system.



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Barack Obama | Joe Biden: 3 EVs
Ron Paul | Gary Johnson: 19 EVs
 
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The President has faced a tough reelection challenge from Secretary Hillary Clinton, as well as a a failed raid on Osama Bin Laden's complex in Pakistan.

What on earth would lead Hillary to challenge Obama in 2012? Failure of Neptune Spear?
 
Calling it now: Ron Paul fucks up. Ron's an excellent advocate and campaigner but he'd make a lousy chief executive.
 
WB: The polls have just closed in North Carolina, Ohio, and West Virginia. We can call West Virginia for Paul, but North Carolina and Ohio remain tossups. In North Carolina, we can see that Paul has a narrow lead over Obama and King, meanwhile, in Ohio, the President has the lead.

AC: And, moving onto South Carolina, we can see that King has taken the lead. Many asking the question now: what is the future of political parties in our nation? The Independent ticket has consistently hovered around the 5% mark, but has never quite been able to break it. What are your thought, Wolf?

WB: Right. It isn't looking like the will be able to hit 5%, but if they make a strong showing in this election, they will certainly gain momentum as a viable third party alternative. Hold on, we have a major projection to make, as we can now project that Paul will win the state of Georgia. This projection, while expected, has come earlier than thought before. This could mean good things to come for the Paul campaign. The polls in several states will close soon, so let's wait for that.



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Barack Obama | Joe Biden: 3 EVs
Ron Paul | Gary Johnson: 40 EVs
 
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WB: Welcome back! We have a lot of projections to make at this hour. We can project that Representative Paul will win eight states, bringing his electoral total to 123 electoral votes. Behind him is President Barack Obama, who has picked up a total of eight states as well, bringing his grand total to 75 electoral votes. Still too close to call are the states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Missouri. President Obama has a lead in both Pennsylvania and Michigan, meanwhile, Paul has the lead in Missouri.

AC: Things are definitely not looking up for the President tonight. Here, joining us now is Secretary Hillary Clinton, who challenged the President in the primaries. Secretary, what ultimately made you join the race?

HC: Thank you, Anderson. I challenged President Obama for many reasons. He has failed repeatedly to live up to campaign promises. He still hasn't closed Guantanamo Bay, he hasn't eliminated oil and gas tax loopholes, and we still have troops in Iraq. We shouldn't have to expect this from our President, who has promised the exact opposite.

AC: Thank you, Secretary Clinton. Stay tuned as we wait for the latest poll closings, coming soon.



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Barack Obama | Joe Biden: 75 EVs
Ron Paul | Gary Johnson: 123 EVs
 
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