Noted. Consider it my default meaning "PM". AFAIK Attlee isn't a total nitwit, either.

He may be more willing to fire AoCinC Bomber Command TTL, too, given changed circumstances.
That is really the nightmare scenario, isn't it: effective Germans.


My issue on "screwing up", tho, was focused on Barbarossa around Aug-Sept: he blundered over Moscow, diverted forces to (IIRC, offhand) the Ukraine rather than allowing a pause (to rest & re-equip) before taking Moscow, & in the process, threw away the chance. TTL, Stalin has effectively taken that out of his hands, & with Rommel in Russia, it may be Hitler does butt out entirely...
I don't disagree, there. I am thinking more of British change, 'cause it was (contrary to what most may believe) a mainly RN/RCN effort which won the Battle of the Atlantic, aided (immeasurably, I admit) by U.S. construction of Liberty ships & a/c. That being true TTL, & given even TTL doesn't radically change the U-boat situation (no Type 21s in '41, frex), it means Overlord might go off ahead of OTL schedule: no Italian campaign means no need to tie up
large quantities of shipping on supplies for the troops (& Italian civilians...), which also means both number of troops & total shipping is less (if they aren't going to Italy, they're going to Britain, preparing to invade & not getting killed...). (Can I also suggest AFUS accepting a revision of its supply approach, so there aren't huge quantities of crap sent across, which troops don't actually
use,


as was done OTL?

)
If we accept "Germany first" survives (& I don't see it wouldn't), IMO Japan TTL gets far less attention than OTL, which means Nimitz has to get by with much less. In the long run, that might be worse for Japan. (My pet theory, repetition 10000.

) Namely, he's forced to rely on subs himself, therefore discovers & fixes the torpedo problem sooner, therefore the Japanese economy crashes
much sooner (1/44? 9/43...?

The first readily possible, the second just in reach)...which puts the Bomb on (say) Dresden around OTL schedule for the firebombing. (Or we can adopt another pet one of mine,

Ike immobilizes Patton in mid-Aug '44, Crerar clears the Scheldt Estuary around 3 Sept, & the war ends by Xmas '44. Ho ho ho.)