ROC takes Back Mainland China

Non-existent. Even if the Communist regime were to be overthrown, the new regime would have no reason to petition the ROC for annexation instead of just taking power themselves.
 
I doubt there would be the political will to do this on Taiwan. I don't see Taiwanese wanting to add that many Chinese.
 

TFSmith121

Banned
More likely (and not by much) if an actual democratic

More likely (and not by much) if an actual democratic government comes into power in China proper, it becomes the "ROC" and the current "ROC" either joins or is recognized as an indepedent "ROT"...

Probably not the best acronym in English, of course, but oh well.

Best,
 
My best guess would be in the mainland falls into a nasty civil war with a serious power vacuum. For the sake of stability the ROC might intervene, but Japan, Vietnam, Korea, and India would probably be just as involved.

Not too likely though.
 
Hmmm...a population ratio of 50:1...

Slightly less plausible than Finland taking Russia.

That being said, I'd bet mainland Chinese will be more accepting of ROC rule than Russians of Finnish rule.
 

Yuelang

Banned
Great Leap Forward or Cultural Revolution going worse, end up in open rebellion in the mainland. Several US Backed Warlords end up swearing fealty to ROC... :p
 
Hmmm...a population ratio of 50:1...

Slightly less plausible than Finland taking Russia.

That being said, I'd bet mainland Chinese will be more accepting of ROC rule than Russians of Finnish rule.

That's a great AHC. 'Russians under Finnish rule'.
 
Great Leap Forward or Cultural Revolution going worse, end up in open rebellion in the mainland. Several US Backed Warlords end up swearing fealty to ROC... :p

Chiang Kai-Shek: Warlords, you say? Oh no, not this shit again! :( *Buries head in hands*
 

RousseauX

Donor
Simple OP:

What are the chances this could happen within the next 50 years, without any nuclear exchange?

zero.

As in, even if the mainland's military forces disappear overnight, there is zero political will in Taiwan to make itself the government of all of China anymore. Taiwan likes being rich and de facto independent more than taking responsibility for 1.3 billion people, most of whom are really poor.
 
zero.

As in, even if the mainland's military forces disappear overnight, there is zero political will in Taiwan to make itself the government of all of China anymore. Taiwan likes being rich and de facto independent more than taking responsibility for 1.3 billion people, most of whom are really poor.

I wouldn't say zero, since there is a loud minority still talking about such. DPP supporters are already freaking out about Ma's overtures to mainland China. I think the fact that the possibility of it happening is slim means supporters of the idea tend not to bother talking about it.
 
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