I've done a crude calculation using the line drawing of the Sea Hurricane Mk IC in British Naval Aircraft Since 1912.
The best place for the wings to fold seems to at the place illustrated in
@jsb's photographs. This is inside the propeller disc.
That would reduce the width of a Sea Hurricane Mk IC from exactly 40ft to 12ft 6in.
However, each of the outer wing panels was 15 feet long. Therefore, they would have to fold backwards, instead of upwards, or they would be too tall to fit inside the hangars of the Royal Navy's aircraft carriers.
The extra weight of the folding mechanism will probably degrade the performance of the Sea Hurricane. However, it will still be faster than the Fulmar, Roc, Skua, Sea Gladiator and the Martlet Mks I and II.
I did the same crude calculation on the line drawing of the Fulmar Mk II. That produced a folded wingspan of just under 16ft. I can't remember where I read it, but I think 16 feet was the folded wingspan of the Fulmar.
I think the best POD is around 1936.
- Order 600 Hurricanes from Hawker in 1936 as OTL
- Order 400 Hurricanes from Gloster in 1936 instead of 400 Henleys (sources differ as to whether it was 350 to 400) and don't reduce it to 200.
- Order 389 Hurricanes from Avro in 1936 instead of 389 Hotspurs and don't cancel it in favour of the Defiant.
- Order 378 Hurricanes from Gloster in 1937-38 instead of the last 378 Gladiators ordered by the Air Ministry. The first 225 were ordered in 1935 and I think it won't be possible to build Hurricanes instead of them. Unfortunately most of the 165 Gladiators built to direct export contracts IOTL can't be built as Hurricanes ITTL. However, the last 6 Norwegian Gladiators and the 15 Portuguese Gladiators were diverted from the last Air Ministry contract so they could be built as Hurricanes ITTL.
- The first Sea Gladiators were ordered in June 1938 and were diverted from an Air Ministry contract for 300 Gladiator Mk IIs. All other things being equal ITTL 98 Sea Hurricanes would be ordered in June 1938 and be diverted from a contract for 300 Hurricanes ordered from Gloster. I think that this is not enough time for the Sea Hurricanes built instead of the Sea Gladiator to be completed with folding wings. However, it might be possible to complete Sea Hurricanes built to follow up contracts folding wings.
- Specification O.8/38 for the navalised Fairey P.4/37 was issued on 24th April 1938 IOTL. ITTL it will be necessary to bring it forward one or two years.
- This is to allow for 190 Fulmars to be ordered from Blackburn in July 1936 instead of the 190 Skuas ordered IOTL and for 136 Fulmars to be ordered from Boulton Paul in April 1937 instead of the Roc.
However, this would make it an alternative Sea Gladiator timeline and not an alternative Fulmar timeline.
If you want the latter what you really need to do is not stop the development of what became the RR Griffon so that Fairey can put an equivalent of the Firefly Mk I into service in the middle of 1940 instead of the Fulmar.
AIUI development of what became the Griffon was begun at the same time as the Merlin. However, its development programme had to be suspended at least once so that RR could concentrate on the Merlin. A possible POD is that Rolls Royce stops development of the Peregrine and Vulture so that it can concentrate on the Griffon. Perhaps the POD for that could be that the Air Ministry decides to give the Manchester, Warwick and the predecessor to the Halifax two Griffons instead of 2 Vultures.