Rise of the Generals - A Lord Protector Timeline

I'm sorry but I have to say this doesn't work very well.

In the first place, the only target is shipowners, and only those venturing in certain regions. The great bulk of the country's wealth is landbound.

In the second place, only those "generals" who control warships can get anything this way. That is not a recipe for unity among them.

In the third place, it would be rather strange for warships of the state to be continually ordered off on escort duty (for years at a time) in all directions and with no regard for strategy. The Lord High Admiral is going to be annoyed.

In the fourth place, the escorts cannot guarantee protection. The merchants would be better off arming their own ships.

In the fifth place, this is really nothing more than defensive naval mercenaries. Which AFAIK have never existed. They always cost more than they were worth, or no one even thought to organize them. The only possible "racket" here is if the "general" sends a warship which costs 1,000 pounds a month to operate, to serve as an escort for 500 pounds a month. In which case he's robbing the state, and the Lord Protector is going to be annoyed.

iSTM that the de facto constitution of Protectorate Britain needs more working out. Who are the Generals, and what powers do they have?

"They" command "the army"? As with the One Ring, that's not possible. Individual generals command various parts of the army. Are these parts personal followings? Who controls the state apparatus in various parts of the country? Who can collect taxes or make confiscations? Who can arrest or punish the contumacious or reluctant?

If Oliver II is Augustus, and the NMA are the Legions, then Roman-style civil wars are inevitable.

Hmm... I was under the impression that in this period with the rise of piracy RN ships were used to patrol merchant shipping in a similar capacity as it has today. Maybe I was being a little over ambitious on that idea.

Doesn't matter, that can easily be removed without too much trouble. Thank you for bringing this up, the lack of comments has meant I've just been ploughing forward assuming everything is in order. I need people to comment and bring up the things I've missed, haven't detailed enough.

The Generals are those in charge of the New Model Army. As stated in Chapter 5, rule of law is kept in the same for of the Major-Generals, as seen in both TTL and OTL. Basically the country was divided into 11 regions (the organisation may be slightly different this time) with 1 Major-General per region, supported by Deputies as necessary. Obvious the army is divided amongst the Major-Generals maintaining control of the country, plus probably a few other Generals who do not have a regional control, but are still in command of forces (IE, those Scotland under General Monck, those coming back from the Spanish Netherlands and those being sent off to Portugal). I would expect that each section of the army would vary, some would answer directly to their commander (whatever his loyalties were, at this point given his survival more likely to be Pro-Lord Protector), others would be less so following more in the ideal of the Protectorate. Given the more Republican commanders of the New Model Army are probably either dead or imprisoned, most of the Generals now in command will be very supportive of the Lord Protector.

The rule of law is kept in each region by the Major-Generals and as such they have a sort of autonomy over their own affairs. They collect tax, can lawfully (or unlawfully) imprison individuals as necessary. Given that the loudest critics of the regime have been beaten, those who oppose it are keeping quiet, for now. As rule people are allowed to conduct their affairs as before, as long as they don't get on the wrong side of the NMA. Yes, there will likely be infighting eventually as some of the more ambitious generals vie for power, but thats down the road yet. Spain and the Dutch are keeping the Protectorate united for now against a common enemy.

That, and the fact General Monck is big supporter along with Charles Fleetwood. They are 2 big names in the army, and have the respect and support of many of their fellows. Both were close to Oliver I and would pledge support to a strong Oliver II. Several purges have taken place during Oliver I and Oliver IIs time, so now those in charge of the army tend to follow the Lord Protector's way of thinking IE - Pro Military, Pro Lord Protector, Anti-Monarchy, Pro-Independent (Religious Independence, the movement sought to remove a centralised 'Church of England' from the state, with each priest allowed to administer the parish as they saw fit, allowing for different religious sects to preach freely as long as they weren't catholic). Since Monck was a good friend to Oliver I and is basically controlling Scotland, and Charles Fleetwood is Oliver II's Brother-in-Law, they provide the 2 major pillars supporting the regime. Few of the lesser Generals, at least for now, will feel emboldened to strike. But its only been a few years, a lot can happen in the lifetime of Oliver II.

The constitution hasn't changed from that used during the reign of Oliver I. Lord Protector is the head of state, is allowed to choose his own successor, controls his own second house with the Parliament now being stacked by the 'Lord Protector's Men' to ensure the country doesn't keep getting ground down into infighting like during the Commonwealth era. This is made a lot easier by many outspoken Republicans departing. Again, a lot will develop in the following years but I've tried to use OTL events as much as possible to cover the extension of the Protectorate's existence.
 
Hmm... I was under the impression that in this period with the rise of piracy RN ships were used to patrol merchant shipping in a similar capacity as it has today.

I think (not really knowledgeable here) that the RN and other navies would escort convoys. That is, a group (up to several dozen) of merchant ships would sail together with naval escorts. If the only threat is pirates and not a hostile navy, four or six warships would be sufficient.

(I think this works much better than having one warship to escort a few merchantmen; if that one ship is blown away or loses touch, the merchantmen are exposed. Multiple ships provide redundancy to cover that; and they can cover a lot of ships about as well as a few.)

I'm not sure how this was arranged, or if there were charges imposed. But this kind of arrangement doesn't seem to offer any scope for squeezing individual shipowners.
 
I think (not really knowledgeable here) that the RN and other navies would escort convoys. That is, a group (up to several dozen) of merchant ships would sail together with naval escorts. If the only threat is pirates and not a hostile navy, four or six warships would be sufficient.

(I think this works much better than having one warship to escort a few merchantmen; if that one ship is blown away or loses touch, the merchantmen are exposed. Multiple ships provide redundancy to cover that; and they can cover a lot of ships about as well as a few.)

I'm not sure how this was arranged, or if there were charges imposed. But this kind of arrangement doesn't seem to offer any scope for squeezing individual shipowners.

That does actually make a lot more sense. Seems obvious now but clearly my brain wasn't in gear when writing that section.

Still, thank you for comments. I do appreciate when someone helps point out things I might have missed/mistakes made. Despite this I hope you will continue to read and enjoy my TL and provide critique when necessary.
 
World Map - 1660


1660_zps237bf3d8.jpg


*Approximate Map of the world in 1660. Same as OTL since the lack of major changes at this point.
 
Another person who managed to miss this, and is now subscribed.

May I ask about the Levellers? I suppose John Lilburne died in jail, as OTL?

Very good idea about Pepys. Any chance of his getting the female come-uppance he so richly deserved?

(I like the Caesar/Augustus parallel, it is helpful. But it doesn't have to be taken all the way. English and Roman societies differed so.)
 
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Another person who managed to miss this, and is now subscribed.

May I ask about the Levellers? I suppose John Lilburne died in jail, as OTL?

Very good idea about Pepys. Any chance of his getting the female come-uppance he so richly deserved?

(I like the Caesar/Augustus parallel, it is helpful. But it doesn't have to be taken all the way. English and Roman societies differed so.)

Thank you for the subscription.

Yes he does die in jail as OTL, in 1657. The TL follows OTL quite closely up until the death of Oliver Cromwell, when the divergence becomes obvious.

I'm not sure why people are picking up on the Roman thing so much. It was an off the cuff remark. Don't worry, any parallels drawn between TTL and Roman times is merely to give it historical comparison, it will play out the way it will play out, as per the time period and nations involved.
 
Chapter 7 The Second Anglo-Dutch War.​

With the Dutch declaration of war in December, the Protectorate parliament scrambled to reorganise to decide how to deal with this new threat [1]. The Protectorate had been pretty confident of victory over the Spanish due to the navy’s ability to keep the Spanish fleet suppressed therefore keeping the colonies and mainland relatively safe. This new turn of events made things somewhat more complicated. Even the Dutch fleet alone was enough to cause serious concern amongst the members of parliament. But with having to face the Spanish and Dutch simultaneously, the fleet would be pushed to its limit. The offensive against Santo Domingo was put on hold permanently, with every free ship available ordered to return to England to prepare for the war against the United Provinces [2].

In Spain, King Philip IV was very pleased. In early 1661 the Dutch declared war against England, and in November of that year his wife bore him a son, Charles, his new legitimate heir [3]. During the year, anxiously awaiting his new child’s birth, Philip ordered his commanders to draw up plans for a new offensive against Portugal, to take place in 1662. With the English busy fighting the Dutch, Philip hoped to finally crush the Portuguese rebellion and restore confidence in Spanish supremacy. English raiding had decreased somewhat, as the English fleet made preparations for its war against the Dutch. This gave Spain the breathing room it needed to prepare for its own offensive. The slow trickle of gold from the colonies became a much steadier stream during 1661 [4].

In the Netherlands, the United Provinces searched around for further allies to bring to bear against the Protectorate [5]. Overtures to France came to little. With the Treaty of the Pyrenees France was in ascendancy in Europe and Louis XIV had little interest of starting his reign with an unwanted war.

The year of 1661 saw Louis XIV take his throne at last, and despite his desire to keep the Dutch from joining any alliance against France, aiding them would mean aiding the Spanish. The draining of resources against Portugal and England was sapping away Spanish strength, making a future conquest that much easier. Whilst the last thing he wanted was for the Holy Roman Empire to restore its grip on the United Provinces, Louis wanted to avoid war for as long as possible, giving him a chance to build his own forces. France would stay out of the conflict, but keep a watchful eye on proceedings [6].

Equally Denmark had no interest in war. With the Northern War finally at an end, the Danish king Frederick III saw it as an opportunity for Denmark-Norway to prepare itself for the next major conflict against Sweden, and had little interest in wasting resources in a Dutch war. The expense of previous conflicts now afflicted the country and as such Denmark-Norway was now an Absolute Monarchy. Also with the Treaty of Cardis in mid 1661 Sweden was now free of all conflicts and as such prepared to turn its full might on Denmark-Norway if it squandered its forces elsewhere [7].

Unable to draw any popular support against the Protectorate, the United Provinces made its own preparations for war. It seemed inevitable to all concerned that once again it would come down to major engagements at sea that would determine the war. Plans were also drawn up for an invasion of Dunkirk, the only major English port on mainland Europe [8]. The port had been gifted to the Protectorate by the French, as an agreed payment for support in the Spanish Netherlands. Whilst de Witt put forward the idea that trade was more important than holding onto land Dunkirk was a valuable trading port, and its position on the mainland meant it would be a significant loss to the Protectorate if it was seized. It would also make preying on English shipping far easier as well [9].

Attacks on Dutch and English convoys continued throughout 1661 but neither side had been fully prepared for the unexpected outbreak of hostilities, and as such engagements between the 2 fleets were usually brief and uneventful, especially as the English fleet was still being re-organised. The United Provinces also needed to take time to pull some of its forces back from around Indonesia, where they had been capitalising on the Portuguese-Spanish war to disrupt their respective colonies. The greatest effect came to trade, with both sides dealing each other a heavy blow in direct attacks on shipping [10]. Most people saw a major engagement in 1662 as the most likely outcome, with the Dutch preparing their own forces for the attack on Dunkirk in early 1662.

Additional plans were drawn up for knocking the English East India Company out of the runnings for good. At the time it only possessed a handful of trading posts, and despite the good will of the Mughal Emperor their hold on the area was weak. With Portuguese and Spanish influence in the area weakened by Dutch expansion, capture of the English East India Company's ports could see an end to English trade in the region, and further boost Dutch expansion in the Indian Ocean [11].

The following year of 1662 would see some major victories and losses for the all concerned, and also a strange turn of events that would change the nature of the war and European politics for decades [12].

[1] It would be very likely, such an expected turn such as this would have thrown the Protectorate's plans into disarray.

[2] Plans rarely survive contact with the enemy. Ironically in OTL the Protectorate feared Dutch intervention in the Anglo-Spanish war of 1655-1660 but it never occurred because the Dutch were gearing for war AFTER the Anglo-Spanish war came to an end to capitalise on the weakness. Here the Anglo-Spanish war looks like it’s going to drag on, and with the shipping incident it’s enough to light the powder keg early. Afterall, whilst still engaged with the Spanish the English fleet is still in a weakened state, plus De Witt is looking to score a victory against the ‘English version of the Orangists’.

[3] Charles' son is born similar to OTL. Random fate has decreed it.

[4] Spain gets a breather as the pressure eases up from the English Navy. This will allow for a more concentrated strike later on.

[5] In OTL the United Provinces sought allies and brought Denmark-Norway into the war. Since it is earlier, things go a little differently.

[6] France has no interest in these conflicts. It doesn't affect them plus they have no desire to cripple the English. Spain is doing that for them, and vice versa. Better to watch and make its own plans. Besides, they can always intervene later if the balance of power in Europe looks like it will become distorted.

[7] Since the war kicks off 4 years early Denmark-Norway isn't ready so the United Provinces have to go it alone. Sweden is ready for round 2 and a treaty has only just been concluded.

[8] Seems a reasonable conclusion, it’s a major port in the Spanish Netherlands. Everything Dutch would want and would want to take away from the English.

[9] It would provide a strike point far closer to England than United Province ports. It’s just a stone’s throw from the Thames.

[10] I would expect to see a greater effect on trade than open combat in 1661. The loss of Dutch and English shipping affects both sides more than the loss of warships.

[11] As stated in the previous chapter and OTL the Protectorate had little interest in the EIC, far more concerned with protecting the far more profitable American colonies. That region will likely develop very differently.

[12] Oh yes, I have plans for this one.
 
Chapter 8 The Battles of Dunkirk and Montemor-O-Novo

The year of 1662 opened with disaster for the Protectorate. With the entrance of the United Provinces into the war and the decrease in attacks on Spanish shipping, Portugal and the Protectorate agreed to sending an additional 4,000 Troops to the reinforce the 6,000 present in the country. Unfortunately, the troop ships would become a prime target for the Dutch fleet [1].

In mid-February the transports and their escort encountered a moderate Dutch force as it made its way towards the mouth of the English Channel. In what would become known as ‘The Running Battle of the Channel’, the ships of the Protectorate desperately tried to fend off attacks by the Dutch as they made for the Celtic Sea. The end result was a pyrrhic victory for the Protectorate. Whilst the Dutch had suffered twice as many losses in the engagement, the troop transports had been devastated. A mere 600 of the 4,000 soldiers would ever reach Portugal.

Further trouble struck when the United Provinces moved to seize Dunkirk. Despite the earlier victory in the channel for the Protectorate, the Battle of Dunkirk in May was a clear victory for the United Provinces, and Dunkirk fell into their hands [2]. The Protectorate ships limped home battered and bruised, while the Generals looked for someone to blame. The damage to trade was taking its toll on the Protectorate, and regardless of who was responsible, repairing the damage to the fleet was no easy job with the debt steadily increasing [3].

In June, Portugal would once again taste blood as Spanish forces crossed the border in Alentejo. The forces were led by Philip IV’s illegitimate son John of Austria. The force comprising of over 20,000 drove its way towards Lisbon, hoping to capture the capital and force a swift end to the war [4]. The combined forces of Portugal and the Protectorate managed to force battle near Montemor-O-Novo. As the battle began, a mere 10,000 Portuguese soldiers and 600 Englishmen stood between the Spanish force and Lisbon, under the command of Sancho Manoel de Vilhena the 1st Count of Vila Flor.

The smaller Portuguese force initially appeared timid, prodding at the Spanish lines with little outright engagement. John of Austria mistakenly took this as a sign of unwillingness to engage and pressed forward. Unfortunately it was a delaying tactic to allow a second force of 6,000 Portuguese and a further 4,000 Protectorate troops to arrive from the North. This additional force arrived in good time to encircle the Spanish and cut them off [5].

Surrounded on both sides and with no hope of retreat, John of Austria made a valiant stab towards the smaller western Portuguese forces in an attempt to break through and make a run for the capital. The action was doomed to failure however, and his body was found later amongst the dead with a musket round through his chest [6].

The Spanish formation now confused, disrupted and with nowhere to run, over 12,000 were killed or captured by the Portuguese. In exchange, the Portuguese lost 4,000 of their own with the Protectorate losing approximately 1,000 [7].

In Spain, Philip IV both raged and grieved for the losses he had suffered. The loss of such a large force would not be easy to replace. Even with the decrease in English pressure at sea it was still enough to make the defeat very costly. Philip desperately wanted an end to the conflict with the English, to take some time to rebuild Spain's fortunes [8]. The death of John of Austria was also a painful burden [9]. Portugal was slipping from his grasp, and nothing he could do would bring it back. He now began to consider his options, especially what to do with the unwanted spectre at the feast, Charles Stuart [10].

In Portugal, the victory against Spain was a causing a mixture of celebration and controversy in Lisbon. On one hand, such an overwhelming victory brought Portuguese Independence that much closer. On the other hand, it was partly down to the aid of the English. The Count of Castelo Melhor, leader of the Francophile party, had been attempting to position himself closer to the King to gain influence over the young ruler. He had even gone so far as to try and suggest that the King's mother and regent Luisa de Guzmán was out to seize the throne for herself.

However, the past few years had taken its toll on the Francophile party, with the Treaty of the Pyrennes seeing an end of French support and the Protectorate coming to Portugal's aid. The Anglophile party, enjoying considerable favour at this time, managed to drive a wedge between Castelo Melhor and the King. His plans foiled for now, Castelo Melhor and the Francophiles were forced to take a back seat as the Anglophiles praised their allied nation. This was warmly welcomed in London, as greater influence in Portuguese affairs would be beneficial in the future [11].

However, a single event towards the end of 1662 would change the situation of the war forever. A shocking turn of events that no one in Europe could have predicted. On 17th November 1662, Charles Stuart arrived at the residence of the House of Orange in the United Provinces [12].

[1] An attack of opportunity proving its value.

[2] Seems very reasonable that the United Provinces would take Dunkirk, it’s the perfect base for attacking English shipping and harassing the mainland. As for the victory, a combination of better commanders and organization proves decisive.

[3] As with the previous Anglo-Dutch war, debt will be far more important than just the sea battles.

[4] Effectively a TTL parallel to OTL's Battle of Ameixial in 1663. Similar players, just a year earlier as Spain want to end this war quickly and move on. Also it manages to push further into Portugal before being engaged.

[5] I randomly generated the outcome of the battle. It might seem an extreme swing against Spain but it’s not too dissimilar to the Battle of Montes Claros in 1665, where Spain lost 10,000 to Portugal's 2,700. Ameixial was also 8,000 Spanish to 2,000 Portuguese.

[6] Again, a randomly generated event. John of Austria dies in Portugal. Given the nature of the battle it's not surprising. It will profoundly affect Spain though.

[7] Again, it know it may look extreme but given OTLs outcomes it’s not impossible, especially given there's a few extra 1,000 NMA Veterans supporting the Portuguese.

[8] In OTL Philip finally let’s go of Spain in 1668, here the pressure is much greater because the English are still actively damaging the Spanish economy.

[9] Since John doesn't return in disgrace after defeat, Philip takes his death much harder for despite him being illegitimate there are suggestions he cared for his son. This affects his decision making with regards to Portugal.

[10] I feel Philip only kept Charles around because he considered his value if returned to England. With that slipping from his grasp, he is now a less useful pawn.

[11] Castelo Melhor never manages to get close enough to King to get his mother sent to a convent. This changes the rise of Peter II, brother to the current King (though his rise may be inevitable).

[12] I know I may get some hate mail for this one, but let me explain in the next chapter...
 
Chapter 9 – The Machinations of Philip of Spain
Modified 12-01-14 - reason: https://www.alternatehistory.com/discussion/showpost.php?p=8737139&postcount=34

In a move that had shocked Europe, Philip IV of Spain forcefully evicted the self-proclaimed King Charles II of England, Scotland and Ireland, sending him to his sister's residence in the United Provinces [1]. Mary, daughter of Charles I and widow of William II of Orange had previously been forbidden from receiving her exiled brothers, despite her wish to see them. Her other brother James had recently accepted a position of Admiral in the Spanish Navy believing that the throne was forever lost to the House of Stuart [2]. However Philip had demanded that Charles leave Spanish territory, and through much effort managed to him into the United Provinces without detection [3].

At this point, forbidding the acceptance of Charles was now a moot point. Mary welcomed her brother and had appropriate accommodation prepared for him. However, this event would shatter Dutch politics over the Province's response. Johan de Witt found himself floundering at this. Much effort had been taken to discredit the Protectorate's name, yet he desired nothing more than to hand the King back to his own people to stand trial. Yet they were in a middle of a war, and the Orangist faction rallied to Charles' defence saying that the brother in law of William II could not so easily be sent away to death. Also Charles, as the rightful ruler of England, Scotland and Ireland, could be reasoned with if managed to reclaim his lands [4].

What made matters worse was the colliding of Royalists and Republican English in Dutch bars and taverns. Both now exiled they blamed each other and frequent brawls and fighting broke out as the relics of the English Civil Wars spilled out onto the streets of Holland [5]. All were in agreement that something had to be done, but none could agree on what. Some suggested forcefully removing either the Royalists or Republicans from the United Provinces, but the problem arose that Johan de Witt defended the Republicans and the Orangists defended Charles.

The situation would tragically resolve itself however. On 7th March 1663, Charles Stuart was found dead in his bed chambers, several stab wounds to his chest. The unwanted spectre at the feast of Europe was dead [6]. There was considerable uproar over this, with everyone blaming their enemy. The Dutch Republicans blamed the House of Orange for failing to protect a foreign Royal. The Orangists accused the Republicans of orchestrating the assassination. The English Royalists accused the Protectorate of dispatching an assassin to murder the King [7]. Some even suggested it was the Spanish or French, who looked wanted to remove an unwanted player from the European chess board and prevent him returning to plague THEIR lands.

Regardless of who was responsible, the line of Stuart was brought to an end, and so died the last King of England, Scotland and Ireland [8].

Whilst the United Provinces were in turmoil, Philip IV looked to capitalise on the disruption he had caused. He immediately sent diplomats to London to negotiate a peace with the Protectorate. He offered up a treaty that gave English merchant shipping exclusive rights to carry up to 50% of Spain's cargo for the next 5 years [9]. This solved 2 problems for Philip as it brought an end to the war he so desperately wanted, and also filled the void he expected to come by a withdrawal of Dutch shipping. So far the Dutch shipping had been a major factor in bringing in Spanish goods from the colonies and Philip was expecting the Dutch to cut trading ties following the coup de grace he had struck with the forced eviction of Charles. The Dutch Free-trade policy made this an unlikely, but this move ensured further protection for Spanish shipping for the next few years as the English fleets protected Spanish cargo. It also forged closer ties to the English which would be useful if Spain and France once again went to war.

The outcome was not as he had hoped however. The Lord Protector and his men met to considered the offer, yet found that had to reject it. It was the simple matter of leaving Portugal to Spanish hands. Spain with all of Portugal's colonies would be far too powerful to leave alone. The Treaty of Lisbon aside, a free Portugal was the only way to keep Spain in check for the long term. So, begrudgingly, the Protectorate send a regretful decline to Philip [10].

Shortly after however, flushed by its success and learning of the attempt to negotiate a peace with the English, the Portuguese sent their own diplomatic envoy to Philip, demanding peace in exchange for a recognition of Portuguese independence. Loathed to accept, yet seeing France growing stronger every day as Spain, England and the United Provinces ground each other down Philip final felt he had to concede that Portugal was a lost cause [11].

Finally, Spain sent a counter-proposal to Portugal, offering to acknowledge its independence in exchange for nearly a full half of its colonies. These claims were of course outrageous to the Portuguese who flatly refused [12]. However the Protectorate saw Spain's willingness to negotiate as a way to resolve the situation immediately. The Protectorate made itself clear to the Portuguese nobility that it needed to cooperate with Spain on finding a deal, or Protectorate support would be withdrawn. This cost the Protectorate some of its good standing amongst the Portuguese who saw that its interference in the Portuguese Restoration War had been purely selfish [13]. Nevertheless, in September 1663, Spain and Portugal signed a treaty to the effect of:

  • The Braganza dynasty was to be recognised as the legitimate rulers of Portugal.

  • Ceuta, Tangier, Makassar and Maderia would become the property of Spain.

  • The Protectorate of England, Scotland and Ireland would receive exclusive rights to carry up to 40% of Spanish cargo. [14]
With the negotiations concluded, Spain and Portugal settled down to recover from the long exhaustive war and return to the business of Empire building. The trade agreements with both would prove to be a major boost to the Protectorate's income and would go some way to dealing with its increasing debt following the end of the Anglo-Dutch war [15].

Meanwhile in a far distant land, the forces of the Ottoman Empire began to stir. Despite the wishes of Emperor Leopold I of the Holy Roman Empire, the Grand Vizier Koprulu Fazil Ahmed crossed the Ottoman-Hungary border with an army of over 100,000 men. The Holy Roman Emperor summoned the Imperial Diet, calling on the Nobility and Royalty of the Holy Roman Empire and its neighbouring states to once more stand against the impending threat from the East. In the year 1664, the next great war between the Holy Roman Empire and the Ottoman Empire would begin [16].

In the United Provinces, Johan de Witt became acutely aware that the Dutch needed to score a major victory against the English following all of the chaos and confusion that had arisen from the end of the Anglo-Spanish war. Plans were drawn up for 2 major offensives, the first to remove the English East India Company from good. The second was a strike against the English fleets off the coast of England from Dunkirk. In August 1663, the United Provinces struck their next decisive blow [17].


[1] I believe given the choice to bring the Protectorate to the negotiating table in exchange for booting out a worthless King, Philip will act in his best interests.

[2] James considered this OTL, here given the situation he actively gives up and the remnants of the House of Stuart becomes integrated into the Spanish Nobility.

[3] Given the Dutch have a large land border with the Spanish Netherlands, plus the fact the Dutch have just seized the port of Dunkirk in the Spanish Netherlands and the increase in Spanish-Dutch shipping over the past few years, it wouldn't be impossible in the confusion for Charles to be sent on his merry way.

[4] The Orangists would likely support Charles, if only as the Uncle of William III. His Royal status though is worrying to them, not exactly sending the best message.

[5] It might not be a widespread thing but even a single brawl reported and spread by word of mouth would bring much concern, and Charles was always followed by an entourage of Royalists whichever land he fled to.

[6] Far too many people want him dead at this point. Post people probably didn’t hate him, merely what he represented (which varied from place to place but always concluded with ‘trouble’). By now, everyone wants Charles to just go away, and one of them was desperate enough to make it happen.

[7] In OTL Richard Cromwell and a few others were accused of plotting the assassination of Charles in his exile. While I question whether it is true, similar accusations will be levelled here.

[8] James is pragmatic. He’s staying in Spain for the foreseeable future. The only other claimant is William of Orange III and he’s still a boy.

[9] Note the wording “Up to”. This can mean nothing. It’s just a way of solving the issue of possibly losing the Dutch ships currently carrying Spanish cargo. Like most agreements at this time it’s a hollow gesture rather than a blood oath. Treaties were frequently worded deceptively and broken on a whim. I don't think it would be unreasonable for such an offer given his recent losses.

[10] The Protectorate has a few tactical minds. They'd happily sell the Catholic Portuguese out in a heartbeat but the last thing they want is a stronger Spain.

[11] The additional pressure of the Protectorate's active interference plus the loss of John of Austria causes Philip to back down earlier.

[12] Go into the negotiations aiming higher than you'd settle for.

[13] The Protectorate wants to concentrate on the Dutch. Portugal would be happy to keep fighting but with Spain finally negotiating and the Anglophiles enjoying support Portugal compromises.

[14] I think these terms seem reasonable. Portugal won't give Spain its crown jewels but it does need to part with more than OTL. I've tried to pick a few colonies that aren't openly Anti-Spanish, key colonies to Portugal, or worthless for other than Portuguese prestige. Ultimately this is a better outcome from everyone. Spain gets more than OTL and longer to rebuild after it. Portugal gets free sooner and hence more time to rebuild and expand against its Dutch rivals in the Indian Ocean (even if it does cost a little more). Again, the 40% cargo is a token gesture, however the fact Spain now can use English merchants in competition with the Dutch will open the market up.

[15] Which I'm not yet done with.

[16] As per OTL, the Ottoman Empire marches into Hungary. The peace talks break down as per OTL, with Érsekújvár and Novi Zrin inevitably falling as per OTL. I’m breezing over this area except for when it gets really important since this TL is more concerned with Protectorate, however I am keeping a record of international events.

[17] The Charles issue will slow things up a bit, so the Dutch haven't been as active in early 1663 as they'd like to have been. After his death this changes.
 
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Deimos

Banned
This is interesting to read. It will be especially interesting regarding what happanes to the Puritan faith.

On a sidenote, I was not aware that there were German kingdoms in 1664 that Leopold I could call upon for aid. I thought they were established after 1800?
 
This is interesting to read. It will be especially interesting regarding what happanes to the Puritan faith.

On a sidenote, I was not aware that there were German kingdoms in 1664 that Leopold I could call upon for aid. I thought they were established after 1800?

Thank you for your interest. Yes I will be touching more on Puritanism when the wars resolve themselves. The Church of England will receive a considerable overhaul with the Independents still in charge.

From what research I made there did seem to be regions within the HRE which I may have perhaps mistakenly referred to as "Kingdoms", IE. Those more Catholic, those more Protestant, and a few that aligned themselves more with France than the Hapsburg Holy Roman Emperor (without causing outright disruption obviously). Kingdom may perhaps not be the right word (maybe Province? Region?), but the term 'Prince' was used along with a few Kings (although perhaps some of them may have been Slavic rather than German? The whole HRE is a bit complicated).

At any rate, I was merely describing is also what happened in OTL so even if I may have used the wrong terminology, the 'ripples' haven't reached here yet so its still progressing as OTL. Though that may not be for much longer.
 
Interlude II - Diary of Samuel Pepys, 9th March 1663

"News spreads around London of Charles Stuarts death. Gone from England now forever is the House of Stuart. Many mourn the passing of the age, but it hath gone some time now. The Lord Protector’s rule secure.

Up betimes, to my office, where all the morning. About noon the Lord Mayor, desiring way through the garden from the Tower, called in at the office and there invited me to dinner, which I did; and there had a great Lent dinner of fish, little flesh.

Thence he and I to walk one turn in the Park, and so home by coach, and I to my office, where late, and so home to supper and bed. There dined with us to-day Mr. Slingsby, of the Mint, who showed us all the new pieces both gold and silver (examples of them all), that are made for the Lord Protector, and compared them with those made for the former. The crowns [1] of King are now sold, it seems, for 25s. and 30s. apiece."


[1] This refers to the currency, not the headdress.
 
Chapter 10 – Keep Your Friends Close...


With the Spanish wrapping up their war with the Portuguese and English following a major defeat, the United Provinces found themselves now standing alone against the Protectorate. Furthermore, the exiled King Charles II had been murdered whilst the guest of the House of Orange. This was a mixed blessing, for the Royalists of England naturally began to depart from the United Provinces, seeking refuge in Sweden, Portugal and some of the more Royalist leaning colonies [1]. This left only the English Republicans, allies of Johan de Witt and the Republican State Party.

Johan de Witt saw the need for a decisive blow against the Protectorate to force it to the negotiating table. The war was taking its toll both on the Dutch and English economies, but the English more so as it had been in a far worse state prior to the beginning of hostilities. Recent treaties had concluded favourably for English trade however, and as a result the pressure on the English economy would soon begin to slacken. Many English traders, now with access to the Spanish market, fought against the Dutch in a price war where the Dutch traders could only lose or retain their existing contracts. It was everything to gain for the English, and everything to lose for the Dutch [2].

The United Provinces were further hassled in Indonesia, where the Portuguese and Spanish suddenly became far more active. With no wars plaguing either county, the Portuguese and Spanish concentrated on reviving their Empires by attempting to quietly disrupt Dutch claims in the region [3].

To prevent the risk of losing their colonies, the United Provinces concluded the offensives against the English East India Company’s holdings would have to be postponed in favour of a more defensive action, at least until they managed to defeat the bulk of the English fleet [4]. To this end, the major offensive against English fleet, launching from Dunkirk and directed towards the mouth of the Thames was carried out on 4th August 1663. The aim was provoke the English fleet into open combat, capitalising on the losses that had been inflicted during the previous engagement at Dunkirk [5].

As predicted, the Protectorate fleet sallied forth to engage the Dutch. Due to the damage taken at Dunkirk combined with economic troubles during the Portuguese Restoration War, the Protectorate had been forced to withhold a number of ships still undergoing repairs. This, and the removal of a number of senior commanders following the recent defeat led to a rather shambolic showing on the part of the Protectorate. Whilst the fleet did managed to get the Dutch to withdraw, it was more a tactical move on the Dutch part to ensure the bulk of their fleet remained intact for future use rather than being driven off [6].

From all view points, it was a Dutch victory. Although the Dutch fleet had not managed to secure the Thames or even attempt any landings on English soil, the English fleet had been crippled enough so that De Witt felt comfortable relocating some forces to strike against English colonies and claims elsewhere, particularly with an eye on the Indian Ocean.

Suddenly, the positive feelings within the Protectorate began to sour. The victory against the Spanish in Portugal had been a needed boost to the morale of Protectorate Parliament. However, with the Dutch hammering the Protectorate's fleet not once, but twice grumblings began once again in the city of London [7]. On one side, the merchants, traders and wealthy began to fear with the rising costs of the Anglo-Dutch War and the loss of shipping to the economy, taxation would be brought against them to fund what was seen to be a losing battle. On the other side, the former generals and open militarists refused to accept any other outcome than total victory against the Dutch. More ships were needed, more soldiers were needed. Anyone who would allow the United Provinces to obtain victory in the war, were clearly traitors to the Protectorate [8].

Lord Protector Oliver II saw that decisive action would be needed to restore confidence in his reign, and reinforce the legitimacy of the Protectorate. In letters recovered from the personal effects of General Monck, the Lord Protector expresses his fear that the expelled Republicans would return to England and Scotland to ferment further dissent. Scotland appeared to be one of the more dangerous breeding grounds of Monarchism and Republicanism as the General still continued to suppress the people by force of arms with little democratic representation. With the war against Spain only recently concluded, and with the Anglo-Dutch war going rapidly downhill, the Lord Protector had kept General Monck in his position in Scotland until a more permanent solution could be found [9].

In his return correspondence, General Monck promised to remain vigilant at his post in Scotland, stamping out the fires of rebellion whenever they emerged. However, the inevitable blaze could only be held back for so long. In November of 1663 the Earl of Moray, Alexander Stuart, personally wrote a letter to Charles' brother James (currently serving in the Spanish navy), begging him to return as the rightful King of Scotland [10]. This coincided with a large Scottish uprising, with clashes across the country in attempt to force General Monck's forces to withdraw from their fortified positions [11].

To the dismay of the Protectorate's leadership, during the extremely cold winter that brought 1663 to an end, the bulk of General Monck's forces found themselves forced to fall back across the border into England, with pockets of fortification left trapped surrounded by independent Scottish forces [12]. The uprising consisted of a loose coalition of Royalists and Republicans, united in the single goal of driving the English forces out of Scotland. However, with their main goal achieved, 1664 saw Scotland dissolve into its own mini Civil War [13].

With Scotland spiralling into anarchy, and rebellion in his own parliament, the Lord Protector formally dissolved parliament, leaving the enforcement of law up to the Major-Generals as personally organised the response to the ‘Scottish problem’ [14].

What would occur in 1664, would be one of the darkest chapters in the history of the Anglo-Scottish relations. The actions of Lord Protector Oliver II would forever blacken his name, and set up a chain of events that would divide Britain for centuries to come [15].


[1] The Royalists have no reason to hang around a Republican state if their King is dead. Some will try to persuade James to take up the crown but without a firm base on the British mainland, James won’t be very responsive.

[2] Spain opens up competition between the Dutch and English where the Dutch used to have a monopoly. The Dutch can only lose here.

[3] Although there is ‘peace’ between the Dutch and Spanish the Dutch did knock over an awful lot of Portuguese/Spanish claims in Indonesia. They won’t take too kindly to it.

[4] If the Dutch can cause enough damage to keep enough of the English fleet in dry-dock they can move their forces around the globe without hindrance.

[5] Complete victory would be nice, but the Dutch will settle for just scoring more damage.

[6] The Protectorate is feeling the strain of restricted trade and the reallocation of command. Unable to field its full force, and with many ships still being held back for negligible repairs. Errors in organisation play a major part in the defeat.

[7] Politics is as politics does. Happy to unite in victory, squabble to the death in defeat.

[8] Previously, the lack of tax hikes and the good times against the Spanish kept the parliament together. When this is threatened, unity breaks down.

[9] Scotland has been under martial law for many years now. The pressure has been building up beneath the surface.

[10] The Scottish nobility spark the rebellion but as always other players have a desire to see Scotland rebel too.

[11] 1663 was reported to have been a very cold year. Raids by Scottish terrorists amongst other things have broken down morale for the Protectorate forces stationed in Scotland and as a result when the attacks come they are far more effective than they should have been.

[12] Scotland isn’t lost, but the Protectorate forces become divided and isolated. Pockets of forces exist but they can’t support each other. Those across the border are out of communication whereas those fortunate enough to fall back aren’t exactly welcomed.

[13] It always was an alliance of convenience. Multiple people striking together. With the enemy divide they now turn on each other as they lose the 1 piece of common ground they had.

[14] The ‘Scottish Problem’ will go down in history. Parliament is temporarily put on hold, as the Lord Protector wants to lead the campaign personally.

[15] This is going to get messy.
 
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