Final post. I demand comments! I demand praise and adulation and scathing, scathing criticism! Or, you know, you could not. In a manner that I'm sure Mark Vass would hate, I leave the choice entirely to you.
The Election
By the second week of the campaign, it was obvious that One Nation’s route to victory lay through the National Liberal Party. Their attempt to ‘play both sides of the fence’, appealing to urban and rural voters, was clearly not working; they stood to lose most of the former National seats to One Nation, which would have the result of forestalling seat losses elsewhere. Meanwhile, their attacks on Labor split the vote in southern seats, allowing preference exhaustion to potentially benefit One Nation. Preferential voting was invented to prevent three-cornered contests, but Queensland’s ‘optional preferential’ system stymied much of the effect of this.
The solution was found in an act of calculated political bastardry. Jeff Kennett, Peter Beattie and Kim Beazley arranged for One Nation candidates not to be preferenced on any Nat Lib ‘how-to-vote’ cards – a move sure to alienate rural voters. In exchange for this, Labor candidates would withdraw from many traditionally Liberal seats, giving Nat Lib candidates a clear run. Effectively, any seats lost in the bush would be regained on the Gold Coast, and Labor would lose a critical thorn in its side.
The plan was far too clever for its own good – to the extent that many have queried whether it was actually ever meant to be implemented. On Wednesday of the second week, the plan was leaked to the press. The former National Party members of the Nat Libs were outraged; they were to be the sacrificial lambs under this plan, ceding party heartland to One Nation. Conservative voters resented negotiations with Labor, undertaken behind the voters’ backs. And everyone, especially Nat Lib leader Mal Brough, loathed Kennett, and his presumption in attempting to manipulate the electoral process.
The result of this was a sudden plunge in the Nat Lib vote. Contrary to expectations, this benefitted Labor, not One Nation; many voters were ‘anyone but Hanson’ voters, preferring a conservative Labor government to a radical Hanson government. Labor had been forced to defend its urban flank from a Nat Lib incursion; with the threat neutralised, they were able to push into One Nation’s rural heartland in the final days of the campaign.
The Olympics
On Friday 15 September, 2000, the Sydney Olympics began.
Aboriginal heritage was recognised. Stockriders galloped across the stadium floor, cracking whips. The nations were paraded; diminished by awkward gaps where the boycotts should have marched. The world’s attention bent upon Sydney, and saw...
They saw something good. What superlatives there were, were strangely lacking: decency, humility, tolerance. They saw a nation that, even if it had not come to terms with its past, recognised something wrong, some strain on the nation’s conscience: it could not be ignored any longer. They saw faces of every colour and beliefs of every complexion. Hanson’s demagoguery could only have worked in Ipswich, a provincial town of dying industry and parochial concerns. Her people did not know multiculturalism; they knew a caricature, a strawman composed by talkback radio and dark rumours. But for most Australians, multiculturalism wasn’t a dogma or a spectre or an inspiration or a curse. It was just there, the way we lived; merely the ideal that you should not be respected according to how well you ‘measured up’ to some sketched Australian identity, some pastiche of Kelly and Gallipoli and Kokoda, but according to who you were. Attempts to intellectualise the ideal, to place it in terms of demography and sociology, ignored the simple human truths at stake.
Of course, this is overanalysis. What merely happened was that the world turned to Australia and saw a nation decent and good, fair and free, and that Australia blushed at their appreciation. The national mood seemed to shift. The ‘Hanson years’ – those dominated by the conflicts over race and national pride – were ultimately about a changing nation: whether the achievements and struggles of the last 30 years had been worth it, or merely damaged and divided the nation. The Olympics seemed, perhaps, to confirm the answer.
Or, at least, that’s one theory. The main problem with political analysis in Australia is that myths and cod-psychology hang over the field like spiderwebs. It’s entirely possible to attribute Hanson’s decline to the in-fighting between staff, a skilful campaign by Peter Beattie accompanied by expensive advertising, or even the launch of Steven Mann’s autobiography, A Radical For Capitalism. Little read and less bought, Mann’s damaging revelations – Vass’s confrontational and obsessive personality, Calden’s ruthlessness and absolute determination to win – reinforced an image of One Nation’s government as crony-laden and dominated by ideologues.
But it can hardly be denied that the Olympics played some role. They completely overshadowed the last two weeks of the campaign, which fought for coverage against blanket sports news. Cathy Freeman’s victory in the 400m athletics title gained more coverage than any economic issue during the campaign. And yet, this was highly appropriate: in a state whose politics were dominated by Aboriginal issues, Freeman’s astonishing success was the ultimate rebuff to Hanson’s pretensions to create ‘one nation’ based on English values. How could she claim such, when the contributions of Aboriginal Australians were so apparent?
All three parties fought for coverage against the overwhelming tide of the Olympics. Yet by the end of the campaign, no polling had been conducted for weeks. Hanson, who demanded to be at the centre of press and political attention, found herself ignored. This immensely consequential election was reduced to triviality.
Day 823 – Three Days to Election Day...
Rain cascaded down the windows. It had been drizzling for days, a constant soak straining tempers. Hanson stood on the stage of a small community hall. She lectured a small crowd of invalid, elderly voters about land rights. Mark, who’d been assigned to follow her for the last days of the campaign, stayed outside, reading on the veranda. He’d been making notes in The Whitlam Government – comparing his government to Whitlam’s. He was searching for validation.
Another campaign aide stared out into the mist, watching lightning crackle over the Glasshouse Mountains. They were a few miles outside Noosa, and yet the sea could not be seen; the resort in winter was a pitiful place, sodden and tired.
‘How do you think she’s doing?’ asked the aide.
Mark closed his book. ‘Badly,’ he said. ‘She still doesn’t get it. She thinks the voters want her for the social stuff. I mean, land rights, for gods sakes; if I didn’t know she was uncontrollable I’d drag her off that stage right now.’
The aide looked surprised; Mark was generally more technical, more precise in his language. ‘So why do they vote for us, then?’
‘Because they think we can improve their lives. Everyone’s forgotten that, every politician in this country; they think voters want nothing more than to be left alone. That’s nonsense. They want help. Hanson exploited that, but she never really understood that; she thought people would be content for her to crusade against the symptoms of their distress, but never the causes. And that’s why we’re going to lose, and that’s why we deserve to lose.’
The aide scoffed. ‘You’re a real wet blanket, you know that?’
‘We deserve this,’ repeated Mark, mournfully. ‘People voted for us because they felt that they were growing apart. That class, race, beliefs, were all driving us apart. That we were becoming more unfriendly, more scared, more...brutal, callous, all that. But One Nation grew out of those trends; it was never going to solve them. We were a manifestation of everything economic rationalism has done to this country. And I helped it. I created it.’
Lightning lit up the veranda for a few seconds; Mark sighed. ‘She’ll be finished in a few minutes. But she can’t be stopped, not even if she loses; the divides she’s spurred up in Queensland will take generations to heal. We will be more scared and more divided than in any time in our history. And I did it.’
The aide clapped his hand against the wall of the veranda. ‘Don’t feel so bad about it, mate. At least she kept the Asians out of the state.’
Mark sighed again.
Day 826, Election Night
Right up until the end, Samantha still had hope.
There would be a swing. She was sure of that. They would lose every seat in the Brisbane surrounds, and there would be losses on the Gold Coast. But they would pick up Nat Lib seats, surely, and draw off defectors from the imploding merged party if necessary. They were the only party of progress, the party of ideas. When they moved, politics moved with them; every other party merely reacted, caught up in their wake. They were revolutionaries. History was on their side...
But she knew from the first results. Angus Lockey, in Mackay, was swept out with the tide – a 10% swing against him. The brains of One Nation authoritarianism conceded defeat in the first moments of counting.
The headquarters were quiet, as the numbers rolled in. Some quietly sobbed in corners. Others, shellshocked, rationalised away the defeat – ‘We can pick up seats in Sunshine, we can keep the north’ – until it was impossible. Samantha stayed calm, right until the end, right until Pauline took the stage to angrily, bitterly denounce those who had turned on her.
Mark worked the numbers, without emotion. He looked up at the end of the speech to see Samantha, standing amidst the desks and chairs, lit by stuttering fluorescent lights. He forced himself to keep looking. He needed to experience this, to share her pain – to know what he’d done to her and her dreams. It was the price he paid.
She looked over towards him. She walked, steadily, over his desk, until she towered over him.
She spat in his face.
Then she walked out, turning out the lights behind her – even as the office was still crowded with people, all silent, all broken – and Mark was alone once more.
The Election
Turnout was low, even with compulsory voting – just 88% of eligible voters reached the polls. Rates of informal and donkey voting were higher than in past years. One Nation supporters had been disillusioned by Hanson’s erratic governance, the incompetence of her ministers, and the domination of government by staffers. Labor supporters were torn between One Nation’s interventionist economic policies and traditional ties. Rural Nat Libs were disgusted by the party’s domination by the federal Liberal Party; urban Nat Libs saw it as merely a National Party takeover.
One Nation was reduced to 25% of the vote. It lost 20 seats, including those of Angus Lockey, Bill Feldman – and Wayne Robinson, pipped by 203 votes. The Nat Libs fared even worse, reduced to 5 seats, all in urban areas, with a humiliating 15% of the vote.
The Labor Party won by default, merely by not being One Nation or the Nat Libs. They won 50.1% of the primary vote, and 60 seats. Independents – former One Nation MPs and rural populists – won another 3 seats. It was a shattering defeat for One Nation, the end of their political moment. It forms part and parcel of Hanson’s shocking two years of triumph – just as she had come to power by coincidence and a sudden zeitgeist, the loss of such an animating momentum left her government ruined and her credibility in tatters.
The Aftermath
In her concession speech, Hanson delivered a fiery bromide, attacking media bias, ethnic branch-stacking and Labor corruption. She refused to concede any fault on her own part, and declared – startlingly – her own campaign for the Prime Ministership, at the federal election the next year.
The ‘Pauline for PM’ campaign lasted a little over a year. She campaigned amongst the true believers in every state, and seemed, for a while, to gain momentum from voter disgust at the trench warfare between Kennett and Beazley. She campaigned heavily on the issue of asylum seekers. At the 2001 Western Australian election, One Nation won 15% of the vote and three outback seats – surpassing all expectations. For a while it seemed as if Hanson could pull off the impossible: achieve the balance of power, and a strong role in a coalition government.
But Hanson was denied the preference deals that had allowed her a shocking victory in 1998. Both parties campaigned against ‘One Nation extremism’. She was denied press coverage, denied credibility and forced further and further to the fringes of the political spectrum, in order to curry favour with a diminishing base. Her campaign has been compared to Gough Whitlam, in his sad opposition leadership from 1975-1977; a true believer after her time, fighting desperately to reclaim a lost historical moment.
One Nation gained 9.8% of the national vote in 2001 – more than expected, but only enough to elect a Senator in Queensland. Hanson won the constituency of Oxley, her first seat; no other MPs were elected. One Nation votes drew disproportionately from the Coalition, but spread preferences evenly between Labor and Liberal. This allowed Kim Beazley to scrape out a narrow re-election win, which pundits dryly attributed to Hanson. At the by-election for her state seat, Labor won in a landslide.
With Hanson reduced to lonely ostracism in federal Parliament, One Nation underwent a spectacular implosion. Factions, divided by personality as much as politics, tore the parliamentary party apart. One Nation was a party held together by grievances, personal ambition and Hanson’s charisma. It was not a party well-built for opposition: it was not a party well-built for anything.
Three separate ‘One Nation’ parties competed in the 2003 state elections. None gained more than 10% of the vote. The largest faction, under former Transport Minister Jamie Fisk, won seats in the Gladstone region on a platform inspired by the ideas of Mark Vass. But the overall result was decimation. The Nat Libs regained their status as Official Opposition; Labor, under Peter Beattie’s cautious, conservative governance, actually increased their majority.
Today, One Nation exists only in Queensland. Hanson retains her House seat, although the party has no Senators. Jim Fisk’s faction retains five seats in the Queensland Parliament, although he himself has retired. Otherwise, the party did not survive its first decade.
A Reflection on One Nation
One Nation will probably always remain controversial. Its dwindling supporters gain greater vehemence as time goes by; its hysterical opponents continue to believe Hanson was a hair’s breadth away from fascism. As she fades into memory, the debate grows more emotional, memories grow more distorted, and the entire history is shrouded in myth.
It must first be acknowledged One Nation had real accomplishments, beyond the extraordinary feat of being elected at all. Health, education and welfare spending were all increased dramatically. The rail lines constructed by One Nation are amongst the best in Australia, serving rural communities dying for lack of access. Public housing was upgraded; urban services, especially in rural areas, received reinvigoration; and local governments were given new funding and functions. Unemployment declined significantly. The apprentice subsidy scheme was retained, and improved, by Labor, and has become an article of bipartisan faith in Queensland. If you were white, and especially if you lived in a regional area, then the One Nation years were good to you.
But on balance, her legacy was negative. Ethnic Australians suffered a level of hostility and discrimination unseen in decades. New Nationalism, rank bigotry at its worst, must be condemned in the strongest terms. The Queensland Trust never worked as intended and became a mere rort, funnelling money from the taxpayer directly to favoured groups: farmers and small businessmen. Environmental protections were greatly undermined. Civil liberties and due process were damaged and systematically attacked. Mandatory sentencing and the death penalty became international stains on Australia’s reputation, and hurt the efficacy and public respect of the criminal justice system.
Hanson’s worst legacy was in Aboriginal affairs. Although her land clearances were ended by the Labor government, and compensation was given (in part, and gradually) for dispossession and lost property, the fact remains that an entire region was ethnically cleansed. Aboriginal disadvantage in Queensland is the worst in Australia. Homelessness remains the single most pressing problem of any Queensland government. Her attack on land rights, on human dignity, on the simple concept of the equality of races will tar her as the worst head of government for Aborigines in Australian history.
One Nation was a radical party. This defined its best and its worst moments. But this radicalism was doomed to burn out, brightly and briefly. It was not a party built for governance. And yet our society, in Queensland and Australia, will always bear the scars and signs of the Hanson government.
Epilogue
Hobart, Tasmania – Day 3650
He rides a bike to work – public transport is terrible here, although he’s doing his bit to change that. He shows his badge at Parliament House, sweeps through an office of cronies into a meeting with the Deputy Premier. He uses the right buzzwords: ‘sustainability’, ‘social justice’, ‘a Green Tasmania is the only Tasmania that can survive.’ He’s used to veiling his message in other people’s words by now.
A morning of hard work on education policy. Regional Tasmania is one of the most impoverished regions of Australia – ‘six finger country’, lacking the services the rest take for granted. His schemes – universal kindergarten education, tax credits for teachers, and more funding, of course – will change that. Equality of outcome will only result, ultimately, from equality of opportunity.
He wanders down to a cafe for lunch. They serve battered fish and chips, straight from the sea – some of the best he’s ever tasted. He sits down at a table, opens up his copy of the Mercury. Latham is in trouble, again, over his tax proposals. The Finance Minister has already resigned – they’re saying a leadership coup is days away. But the Liberals are a hopeless rabble, caught between half a dozen aspirants for the crown. Australia is in desperate need of leadership, yet neither party seems fit to provide.
And then Mark sees Samantha.
She walks in, and looks around the cafe. Her hair is cut short. Her face is more lined. And she’s lost weight – somewhat alarmingly so. But he knows it’s her. She sees him.
And she smiles.
She sits down across the table from him. He doesn’t know what to say.
She speaks first. ‘Hello, Mark.’
He still doesn’t know what to say.
‘I asked at your office,’ she says. ‘They say you come here every day, for lunch. You always liked a routine.’
No response. She smiles.
‘Honestly, Mark. You work for the Greens?’
He finally responds. ‘They don’t like to publicise it,’ he stammers. ‘I’m the Man in the Iron Mask, to them. But they like my ideas. Some of them.’
And then they both talk, in a rapid-fire burst of anecdotes and half-truths. She’s a real-estate agent now, up in Noosa. She alludes to a few years of financial struggle; attempts to gain political patrons that never eventuated, time spent on the dole. He talks about bouncing from party to party, state to state, constantly on the move to sell his ideas.
‘The Greens aren’t that far from One Nation, you know,’ he gabbles. ‘We both want to protect the Australian economy from foreign interests. We both want to stand up for the poorest in society. We’re both interested in sharing the wealth.’
She snorts, amused. ‘I think only you were interested in sharing the wealth. You just talked louder than the rest of us.’
‘I’m doing good work,’ he says, proudly. ‘We’ve been in coalition for two years. In that time, child mortality’s fallen, test scores have risen, and work’s already begun on the Hobart metro. It’s...it’s wonderful.’
Samantha smiles fondly. ‘Still the revolutionary. Still changing the world.’
‘Yes,’ he replies, without embarrassment.
They sit in silence for a moment. A waiter walks up; she orders a coffee.
‘Why are you here?’ he asks.
She shrugs. ‘This is my holiday. I met Wayne Robinson a few weeks ago; he was buying property, just like everyone else. He’s getting married again. And he said you worked down here. So...here I am.’
‘Here you are,’ he repeats. ‘That’s how you’re here. I’m asking why.’
She giggles at the overanalysis. He blushes. ‘I’m here because I wanted to see you,’ she says. ‘I don’t know what happens from there. I hadn’t planned this out very far.’
Another awkward pause; Mark plays with the chips on his plate.
‘We really don’t work out very well,’ he finally says, haltingly. ‘You knew we don’t. There’s something wrong with me. I’m...obsessive. Single-minded. A workaholic. And you...you spat on me, last time we saw each other.’
‘I know,’ says Samantha. ‘It was a difficult time. You got us thrown out of government. We did a lot of good stuff, more than any other Australian government. We changed the world, you and me, and you threw it all away. I worked my whole life towards that and you threw it all away.’
‘Then...’ He gulps. Everything is predicated on this one moment. ‘Then why are you here?’
She smiles. ‘Like I said. I’m on my holiday. But...if you wanted...another explanation...then I suppose it’s because some things are more important than the revolution. I don’t know why I like you. You’re not good-looking, that’s for sure. But...you interest me, with your ideas and your obsessions and you’re kinda charming, in your own way.’
He looks down at his plate, to hide his embarrassment. She shrugs. ‘And...I suppose...well, the real estate boom in Queensland’s fading, as the economy slows. But with the investments you’re making here, there’s a population shift. I think it’s a real growth market.’
Without looking up from his plate, he mumbles, ‘I don’t know if we can sustain...something...just based on me being kinda interesting.’
He looks up. He sees her smiling – a sight that he would once have given the whole world for. Something he tried to give the revolution for. He may be badly-made. He may be not quite human. But for a while, she almost made him so.
He finally smiles. ‘But I suppose it’s worth a shot.’
The End