Reversed Fortunes: Democratic Presidential Primaries 2012 (Part 5)

Who gets the Democratic Nomination in 2012?

  • Hillary Clinton

    Votes: 14 41.2%
  • Russ Feingold

    Votes: 20 58.8%

  • Total voters
    34
The PoD here is that John McCain wins the Presidency in 2008, and actually lives out the whole four years. During this time, the economy has worsened, although not as much as it would have thanks to the Democratic-controlled Congress (althought the 2010 midterms left the Republicans only 11 seats away from a majority in the House). The unemployment rate is at 12%. Osama bin Laden remains at large in the Middle East. The proposed cuts to government programs such as SS, Medicare, and Medicaid are still on the table, only barely being blocked from passage by the Democrats. Don't Ask, Don't Tell is still in effect for the military. The price of gas is almost five dollars a gallon. Just a few snippets of the alternate world. And now the year is 2011. Time for the Democrats to begin the long-anticipated selection of their Presidential and Vice Presidential candidates for 2012. With the Obama/Biden ticket having lost in '08, which of the candidates in the above poll would you support for president?

John McCain dies on July 21, 2011 after suffering a major heart attack. On August 16, 2011, President Sarah Palin shocks the nation by announcing that she will not be seeking her party's nomination for President in 2012. The Republican field is torn wide open as a plethora of shocked and optomistic candidates scramble to launch campaigns to secure the suddenly-open nomination.

This is it! We have only two candidates left in the running for the nomination! Who will win?
 
The biggest campaign slogan/tactic for winning the Democratic nomination is that for all practical purposes she won in 2008 with the primary voters. The Democrat party insiders decided to go for Obama. After losing a close race with nearly everything to his advantage Obama's career would be Dead. When Al Smith lost 1928 it set back the cause of nominating another Catholic candidate until Kennedv. There was an "Al Smith curse" despite Democratic Party's positive RC demographics.

With the scenario that has been outlined Hillary Clinton would begin immediately after Obama makes his concession speech. She would win the nomination not out of tokenism but by being the best candidate that Dems could get.
 
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