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I'm working on a timeline in which the American Revolution continues untill 1789. What prolongs the Revolution is a U.S. defeat at Saratoga in 1777. The American losses discourages France from supporting the Revolution. So France does not get involved, thereby not having going bankrupt funding the revolution. When the Americans loose at Saratoga, it allows the British to take Albany, and eventually take control of the Hudson river, cutting New England off from the rest of the colonies by early 1778.

I personally think the Americans can win the revolution without the help of France, Spain, etc. However, I do think that without them it would take longer, and cost more lives and money. I guess that if the Americans continue to fight even after a loss at Saratoga, 1789 would be a pretty probable time for it to end.

By 1789, the British would be nearly bankrupt, and Taxes would be through the roof. The British would have run out of American Loyalists to fill the ranks and would start more conscripting from the homeland. This would begin to anger people in England, undoubtedly. What are the chances for some kind of British Revolution occuring in the 1790s?

What might happen in a France that didn't support the American Revolution?
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