Republican progressives stay split TR Prog candkdate in 16

Could this have happened?

If so would the Republican party have gradually have disappeared.

Would Democrats have become more clearly a conservative party.

(Query what if Wilson gets his severe stroke before November 1916)
 
Generally I think the consensus here is that, the way that American politics is structured (with First Past the Post especially), it leads inevitably to a two-party system. Either the Progressives fall after success with TR or the Republicans integrate into the Progressive party, with defections on both sides during the realignment. The Democrats would not have to maneuver much, if at all, to keep the support of their party base, especially if the Progressive Party replaces the Republicans.
 
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