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I'm not entirely aware of the Bush/Perot situation that went on in the early 90s, so maybe somebody could shed some light on here. But I was always under the impression that Perot basically stole a lot of conservative votes that H. W. Bush would otherwise have gotten. So maybe go with something like this:

1992, Perot is showing a strong interest in the Presidency. Bush is worried that he might lose votes to Perot and they'd both lose to Clinton. Since Bush can only run for one more term anyway, the two make a deal. Perot will back out of 1992 in return for the Republican nomination in 1996.

How many votes would Bush receive with Perot out of the race? How many of those votes would go to Clinton? Could Bush win?

1996, assuming Bush won, who would get the Democratic nomination? Could Perot, being endorsed by President Bush, actually be the Republican nominee? Could he actually win in 96? And if he does, possibly in 2000 too? This is of course way too early, but how might a President Perot respond to 9/11? (Or would 20 years of conservative rule beef up the military to stop 9/11?)
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