Demonym: Egypt
so there is virtually no uninhabitable place, with even the deserts in western Egypt now being an area with millions of people.
Why not? Serbia would still piss off Austria Hungary, the Great Powers would all hate each other.Just a note, I doubt there would be no WW1 as we know it with a POD that long ago.
Same thing that Israel did to make water in desert. Also, underground water helps a little.Why not Egyptian?
How does this happen? Where does the water come from?
I think the inclusion of WW2 with a PoD that long ago is also a concern.Just a note, I doubt there would be no WW1 as we know it with a POD that long ago.
Why not? Serbia would still piss off Austria Hungary, the Great Powers would all hate each other.
Early modernization would result to lower population in the long run, higher population in the 19th century though or any nearer the Pod of development. Development usually leads to boom then slowing of population growth then stagnation, then population contraction. The later the development, the higher the population the lower the GDP per capita.
Also you need to check land fertility which Egypt cannot compete with high land fertility of the Mississippi or the Ukraine for the viability of the size of the population. Otherwise ATL Egypt will be prone to importation, which is very vulnerable for revolts/protests/depopulation during wars/blockades.
An ATL Egypt with the Area you stated, earlier development would be 100M population with per capita $40k usd, aging population, high HDI, zero to negative population growth by ATL 2018. Which is roughly where Germany and Japan are OTL 2018.
Your population and per capita stated, Achieving near OTL US population and US per capita requires massive amounts of resources and human development, while adding population. US achieved this through the resources available in OTL CONUS, immigration friendly nature of US, western land expansion, accompanied by US human development and European migration/investment. And US got a head start on population by 1820s with 9M vs Egypt 4M.
From the baseline 4M vs 9M and tie the population growth, human and technological development, industrialization with OTL USA, ATL Egypt could potentially at best get 150M with $60k per capita by ATL 2018. in ATL 1914, Egypt could have 45M population, 65M 1939, 75M 1950, same as OTL US per capita in those years. That is the maximum potential of ATL Egypt.
Your numbers as posting the combination of population, GDP, per capita, gdp growth, population growth are impossible to prove achievable.
Egypt also has OTL Sudan, South Sudan, and Uganda which might add to the population.
well, Israel has a high population growth and a developed economyOTL US in 1820 was not the whole USA you know today, no Texas, California, Alaska or western USA yet. Plus a less developed Central USA, less food sources.
The stats I gave are best case scenario for Egypt with a very very small chance of happening.
If you want a higher chance of population, make the economy smaller/Gdp per capita smaller than OTL to achieve 280M population.
If you want higher capita (achieve $60k per capita), you have to make population smaller than OTL. OTL today population Egypt, Uganda, South Sudan, Sudan is below 200M or near 200M. The reason for lower population is higher human development. Higher human development means people are less likely to procreate due to financial constraints(of having multiple children) or simply refuse to have a family as early as 18-21.
Production/producing stuff, making money is also relative to human development. If Human development is higher, the higher the efficiency of making money or production. But the higher your human development the lower the population growth.
well, Israel has a high population growth and a developed economy