We must now leave Ming Zen in Tashilhunpo Monastery with the Panchen Lama and go back a few months in time, because groundbreaking events were occurring in Central Asia throughout the early 1760s.
Some background is necessary. There was no one hegemonic power in all of Central Asia of the mid-18th century, although there were many players who could influence the entire region. China, of course, ruled the eastern part of the area. Central Asian attitudes towards the Chinese were complex; on one hand they were infidels who were conquering their Muslim brothers, while on other hand the allure of Chinese goods was hard to resist.
On the Muslim side of things, major powers included Khoqand, a newly risen kingdom just west of Chinese Central Asia. Irdana, ruler of Khoqand, knew the Chinese would be too cautious to decisively defeat him so he engaged in passive-aggressiveness to win both territorial and commercial concessions from Beijing. In the north the Qazaq[1] hordes, who had a mutually beneficial trade relationship with the Chinese, were important powers. West there were two important countries that did not border Chinese territory, Bukhara and Khiva.
But the mightiest of Central Asian Muslims was Ahmad Shah Durrani, who, as we have seen, was also deeply involved in India. Ahmad Shah's views towards Chinese Central Asia appears to have been simple: infidels had no business ruling over hundreds of thousands of Muslims. He was not alone in this view, for the ruler of Khoqand, a minor ruler in Transoxiana, and a Qazaq khan had together sent Ahmad Shah a letter asking him to "to deliver the Muslim world from the attack of non-believers."
With Chinese envoys scuttling across Kashmir, confrontation may have been inevitable.
The fate of Raja Sukh Jivan
Raja Sukh Jivan's backstory has already been told, but what came to him after February 1761 has not. The raja's meeting with the Chinese infuriated Ahmad Shah, who feared a collusion between Kashmir and the Qing. Almost immediately after returning from Panipat, the Afghan ordered his armies to overrun Kashmir and bring Sukh Jivan to him, dead or alive. Sukh Jivan's army met the Afghans in Awantipur just south of the capital of Srinagar, but after the Afghans fired a cannon towards the enemy the terrified Kashmiri army fled en masse. Srinagar itself fell three days later without combat.
Sukh Jivan had barely managed to escape detection by donning a burqa and disguising himself as an insane woman. Once most of the Afghan army had left, he took off his burqa, cut his beard, and pretended to be a wandering fakir. This way, in October 1761 he arrived safely at Yarkand with a few select members of his court and revealed his true identity to the Qing authorities. Rather disappointingly, they were immediately put them under arrest as the Chinese feared that Ahmad Shah would invade if Sukh Jivan was treated hospitably. The raja and his men languished in jail in Yarkand for over an year.
Meanwhile, the authorities in Beijing had finished their interrogations of the Kashmiri envoys and correctly concluded that Kashmir had taken the Chinese for gullible fools and dared to attempt to deceive the
Emperor of China himself. Surely Sukh Jivan should learn a lesson. Representatives from Beijing arrived in Yarkand in the 10th month of 1762, and the former raja of Kashmir and his subordinates who had accompanied him were all brought in chains to the Afghans. Ahmad Shah had them brought to Kandahar where they were all skinned alive.
But even this measure did not convince Ahmad Shah to think positively of the Qing presence in Central Asia.
A Central Asian Axis
Ahmad Shah Durrani was infuriated by Chinese contact with Sukh Jivan. Or perhaps he was not truly as infuriated as he seemed, but simply used it as an excuse to pick a fight with the Qing. Ahmad Shah left behind no memoirs, so we cannot know for sure. In any case, we do know that he sent the following letter to the ruler of Khoqand in 1761 where he said:
The infidels have brought their accursed hand over innumerable numbers of Muslims, over Yarkand, Kashmir, and many other cities belonging to the abode of Islam, and made these places unlawful...the abode of Islam must be saved through the means of holy war from the great onslaught of paganism and tyranny; victory must be achieved and Islam must be reopened...now they seek to gain Kashmir, and through this province seize all of Hindustan, to launch yet another blow to the Muslims...If you, the ruler of Khoqand, were to accept my authority, our forces combined will be sufficient to lay low the pillars of heathenism and to make the armies of China mere mountains of corpses...Indeed, "fight against the disbelievers and the hypocrites. And their refuge is Hell, and wretched their destination.[2]"
Irdana, ruler of Khoqand, responded positively and nominally submitted to Durrani authority. Ahmad Shah's ouvertures were not limited to the Khoqandis. Importantly, he resolved significant diplomatic hurdles with the Uzbeks in Bukhara, gained the support of many Qazaqs, and even unsuccessfully attempted to draw the attention of the Porte. A pan-Islamic alliance with Ahmad Shah at its head appeared to be coalescing. Some officers pointed out that the Indian campaigns had strained the Durrani state, and that a war against China might be somewhat on the excessive side. Regardless, preparations were made. The Afghans of Ahmad Shah were not simple mountain warriors. They had, after all, put the greatest Indian empire to rout. During the Third Battle of Panipat, Ahmad Shah's forces had used volley fire and demonstrated immense, disciplined firepower both with guns and field artillery. They would be a formidable match for any Qing army.
Badakhshan kept the Chinese informed of these developments. And the question was: what would Beijing do?
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[1] Kazakhs, as in Kazakhstan
[2]
Quran 9:73