The scenario assumes that the theory in New Lies For Old is essentially true and was implemented.
The theory of convergence suggested that the Soviets would stage a grand strategic con by making it seem as if the USSR and E European satellites were becoming democratic. This was a new play of the old Leninist NEP strategy of the 1920s, the goal being to elicit entry into the EU and massive investment into the Eastern Block. Dismantling of the Warsaw Pact, fall of the Belirn Wall and German re-unification were all strategic sacrifices that Soviet planners scripted in their massive con effort. That NATO remains is largely irrelevant because it has become irrelevant as an institution in Europe.
Even as democracy was blooming in Russia and Eastern Europe, nowhere had there been any purges. Many communists remained in the intelligence world of the former communist sates. Others have used money they had stolen during the communist era and kept in Swiss bank accounts to now invest and buy out various state business enterprises in order to create a shadowy network of power that reached into the world of organized crime.
In politics of the newly democratized nations of Eastern Europe former leaders of democratic movements--who had in reality been under control of the communists--have taken leading roles and presidents and prime ministers, resisting ideas of an accounting of the past and holding those responsible for various human rights abuses responsible. This resistance in fact protects those communists in the intelligence world from being ferreted out and exposed.
Meanwhile, in America a left-leaning president is elected, a man who had in his youth visited the Communist world. Once president, he argues for a policy of democratizing China through free trade and succeeds in opening the door for China's exports. China uses this opening to attract enormous investment and technology. After 20 years, China becomes America's number 1 lender and produces virtually all consumer products. China's computers and servers are being used in most OECD nations, giving China the ability to disrupt most Western European communications. If China wanted to, it could cause significant economic disruption in the US by halting exports.
Meanwhile, the EU is in deep financial trouble and its future is in doubt. The crisis in the Southern European nations does not get better but gets worse, so much so that they eventually leave the Union as Germany becomes unwilling and unable to continue to support them. After their exit, the Union breaks apart, leaving a continent in chaos.
The Collapse of the EU hits the US hard, sending its economy into a tailspin. China decides to help the US along and starts to dump it's immense stock of US treasuries so that the dollar collapses and the West goes into a depression. Due to collapse of the Dollar, China suspends exports to the US, causing an instant economic collapse as clothes, computers, medicines and other products are no longer available. Most electronics produced in China also stop working--it turns out that China had baked into the chips it produces a secret code that if triggered would render devices inoperable. Global communications are disrupted and no longer operative.
With Europe and America in economic chaos, Russia and China offer a new order, one based on brotherhood and unity, a world government. This world government, however, is suspiciously leftist and eschews private property rights and civil liberties. In fact, it is a global in scale Union of Soviets that offers food, medicine and clothing to those countries that join it.
Most European states join the Union, leaving the US isolated and broken. In the third world, a revolution sweeps the land as Islam unites many nations against the US and the West. Of course, the new Sublime Caliphate is friendly toward the China-Russian sponsored and controlled Union.
The theory of convergence suggested that the Soviets would stage a grand strategic con by making it seem as if the USSR and E European satellites were becoming democratic. This was a new play of the old Leninist NEP strategy of the 1920s, the goal being to elicit entry into the EU and massive investment into the Eastern Block. Dismantling of the Warsaw Pact, fall of the Belirn Wall and German re-unification were all strategic sacrifices that Soviet planners scripted in their massive con effort. That NATO remains is largely irrelevant because it has become irrelevant as an institution in Europe.
Even as democracy was blooming in Russia and Eastern Europe, nowhere had there been any purges. Many communists remained in the intelligence world of the former communist sates. Others have used money they had stolen during the communist era and kept in Swiss bank accounts to now invest and buy out various state business enterprises in order to create a shadowy network of power that reached into the world of organized crime.
In politics of the newly democratized nations of Eastern Europe former leaders of democratic movements--who had in reality been under control of the communists--have taken leading roles and presidents and prime ministers, resisting ideas of an accounting of the past and holding those responsible for various human rights abuses responsible. This resistance in fact protects those communists in the intelligence world from being ferreted out and exposed.
Meanwhile, in America a left-leaning president is elected, a man who had in his youth visited the Communist world. Once president, he argues for a policy of democratizing China through free trade and succeeds in opening the door for China's exports. China uses this opening to attract enormous investment and technology. After 20 years, China becomes America's number 1 lender and produces virtually all consumer products. China's computers and servers are being used in most OECD nations, giving China the ability to disrupt most Western European communications. If China wanted to, it could cause significant economic disruption in the US by halting exports.
Meanwhile, the EU is in deep financial trouble and its future is in doubt. The crisis in the Southern European nations does not get better but gets worse, so much so that they eventually leave the Union as Germany becomes unwilling and unable to continue to support them. After their exit, the Union breaks apart, leaving a continent in chaos.
The Collapse of the EU hits the US hard, sending its economy into a tailspin. China decides to help the US along and starts to dump it's immense stock of US treasuries so that the dollar collapses and the West goes into a depression. Due to collapse of the Dollar, China suspends exports to the US, causing an instant economic collapse as clothes, computers, medicines and other products are no longer available. Most electronics produced in China also stop working--it turns out that China had baked into the chips it produces a secret code that if triggered would render devices inoperable. Global communications are disrupted and no longer operative.
With Europe and America in economic chaos, Russia and China offer a new order, one based on brotherhood and unity, a world government. This world government, however, is suspiciously leftist and eschews private property rights and civil liberties. In fact, it is a global in scale Union of Soviets that offers food, medicine and clothing to those countries that join it.
Most European states join the Union, leaving the US isolated and broken. In the third world, a revolution sweeps the land as Islam unites many nations against the US and the West. Of course, the new Sublime Caliphate is friendly toward the China-Russian sponsored and controlled Union.
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