Realistic possibility of a Prussia/Germany split

With an earliest POD of 1900, what are the realistic possibilities of a separate Germany/Prussia state emerging either as a result of treaty of Versailles splitting them up or other internal/eternal conflicts?
 
Post-WW1, saddle Brandenberg-Prussia with all the guilt and reparations payments. Watch how rapidly the other German states diss-associate themselves from BP.
 
With an earliest POD of 1900, what are the realistic possibilities of a separate Germany/Prussia state emerging either as a result of treaty of Versailles splitting them up or other internal/eternal conflicts?

Not possible. Prussia has been politically united with Brandenburg for over three hundred years. The post-Vienna "Kingdom of Prussia" united Prussia with Brandenburg, Pomerania, Silesia, parts of Saxony, and even the Rhineland. Prussians had no sense of separate nationality. The "Junker" class of "Prussian" officers were drawn from Brandenburg-Silesia-Pomerania as much as from Prussia.

Then in 1866, the Kingdom of Prussia was enlarged further by the annexation of Hanover, Hesse-Kassel, Nassau, and Schleswig-Holstein. "Prussia" became the largest Land (state) in the federal German Empire. While East Prussia was a separate province of the Kingdom, it had no real distinct identity and the inhabitants were not interested in political separation. At the same time, all the administrative and commercial arrangements of the province tied it to Germany as a whole.

About the only ways it could happen would be for hostile political factions to control "main" Germany and Prussia - say if, after 1918, some fanatical monarchist-militarist group maintained the monarchy in Prussia, out of reach of the authorities in Berlin. Or if there was some massive outbreak of Communism there...

Or, at the end of an alternate WW II, Prussia was occupied by the USSR but not any of the rest of Germany, and Stalin decided to create a puppet German state there - perhaps in reaction to the rump "Republic of China" in Taiwan.
 
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The following is not the most likely course of events, in fact, is is rather far-fetched. But still:

During WWI, Russia is more successful, A-H less. Direct warfare between Germany and Russia is kept to the possible minimum.

Germany has less success overall. Avoiding the push through Belgium and just sitting in the forts of A-L is probably a wise tatctic, but might be seen as lack of any victories.

An earlier factual military dictatorship with the kaiser as figurehead leads to earlier and bigger discontent. Possibly there are very ill-advised repressive measures against the more and more critical SPD leadership before the SPD has time to split off Spartakusbund and USPD.

Having a cunning German Lenin-equivalent might help. The Deutsche Räterepublik is certainly farther to the Left than Weimar ever was.

Hm, look at the 1912 elections:
800px-Karte_der_Reichstagswahlen_1912.svg.png


Interesting.

Maybe a revolutionary part in the middle, a strongly catholic part (backed by France?) in the West and South, with unrest in the Ruhr and Frankfurt areas and a separate Kingdom of (East) Prussia as a client kingdom, shielded from the rest by Russian soldiers in the newly acquired parts of Poland.

This would require that the dynasty and the conservative Junkers of East Prussia would see Tsarist Russia that beat them as less evil alternative compared to the Red Revolutionaries in Berlin. Seems possible.
 
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