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Since I am planning on doing a timeline about an independent New York State at some point in the near or far future (Yes, that's a very, very, very broad time span), and while I have most of it set up, I am curious about what you think a realistic independent New York would look like border-wise under any POD, whether or not it becomes independent as a colony after a failed revolution, as an independent nation after a failed Articles of Confederation, or simply from a POD after the 1700s.

What do you think is the most plausible border arrangement?

I think New York under any circumstance can probably claim the northern part of New Jersey and even parts or all of Connecticut, as well as possibly Vermont. At most, I think those areas plus northeastern Pennsylvania east of the Susquehanna River can also be a claimed territory.
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