Well, some reorganization and filling loopholes, if anything the republicans are fucked by 1864, If anything the Union will do everything in their power to make CSA life as hard as possible but people would mostly ignore their slaveholders' southern cousins..besides the few losses their lives on the war.... i can't see round two, but I can see the union popping champagne if the CSA goes into flames on their own
i'd call it at 50/50 personally--i could easily see a given scenario having them as "worst enemies" or "rival brothers who eventually patch it up". i'm not personally inclined to give the Confederacy the benefit of the doubt, but i'd say that it could realistically go either way.
Yeah but something told me the Union might switch their warfront from direct war to diplomacy, just to make sure their souther cousins have a rough live, especially if that peculiar institution is still alive but I could see some people just falling into indifference and focusing in colonizing the west and midwest instead
that, in turn, is probably the most realistic direction that it would go in; i guess the 50/50 part would be how it goes afterwards, if that just makes them hate each other more of if it's eventually relaxed and they get on better terms.
Pretty unlikely. Why would they bother with going to war to get the CSA recognised? If the CSA is strong enough to stand on its own, there’s no need to go to war, and if it isn’t, it’s going to take a lot of effort to prop it up - effort they could better spend in other things.
I’m not saying that the US will see Britain and France positively. Just that it won’t get in the way of cooperation on matters of mutual interest. Countries that don’t like each other work together all the time in real life - the US isn’t some exception to the rule.
Russia was already US-friendly during the time of the American Civil War, enough so that when they sent part of their fleet into US ports (to hide from the British during a war scare), it was popularly perceived as being a show of support for the Union. They were the closest thing the United States had to a foreign ally (which, to be sure, was not close at all, but other nations were even further).
If the USA gets involved in WW1 (and I do think there will be a world war at some point although it the sides could be very different) then they'll join whichever side is against Britain. The USA might eventually forgive France, but Britain would be seen as the sworn enemy.
Countries have also historically started wars against their own best interest out of nationalistic pride. In this case, Britain would have been the enemy of the USA in three wars, the last of which would have been not only humiliating but seen as a threat to national survival. Those relations are not improving in the forseeable future.
I didn't say the USA would join the Central Powers. The WWI alliances might not resemble to Entente vs CP of OTL, but unless Canada becomes independent before WWI, then it will be seen as a threat to the USA and WWI will present an opportunity to eliminate that threat. Even if Germany acted similarly to how they did in OTL (a rather big assumption considering the potential butterflies) that still probably would not prevent the USA from declaring war on Britain. There would probably not be much in the way of American weapons or munitions exported to Britain, so I doubt we'd see many Americans killed by USW nor would German intelligence be likely to attack American factories. The Zimmerman telegram was issued out of concerns that the resumption of unrestricted submarine warfare would bring about American entry into the war, so it would probably never be issued.
