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Good day. So this a scenario I've thought about lately.

In this scenario, the USSR's leadership is reformist with market reforms and high commitment to detente (Kosygin faction) by thr early 1970s.

Also, in this case, the monarchy in Afghanistan does not fall, so there is no Soviet War there. Also, let's say the Iranian Revolution still happens, but Khomeini is not able to hijack it, so the democratic opposition is put into power. But the disruption in the oil trade due to the revolution jacks up oil prices, cementing Reagan's win in 1980. Here, Soviet aggression is nonexistent, and the reformists are committed to peace and arms limitations.

●●●So with this, is it right to say that there would be no Reagan buildup (since he believed that it would deter the USSR's aggressiveness), leading to a balanced budget by his second term? Would he still make the "...Tear down this wall!" quote?
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