Reagan vs. Rockefeller vs. Humphrey vs. Wallace

Any thoughts on how a 4-way 1968 would go?

Say Reagan takes the nomination at the convention, in part due to Sen. Thurmond's support and the southern bloc. Rockefeller, defeated again by a conservative ideologue, is fed up and runs as an independent, maybe with Romney as his running mate.

It is a safe assumption that Humphrey is still going to take the Democratic nomination a couple weeks later.

How would it turn out?
 
I really don't have a clue how this would go but here is a possible(?)/interesting(?) scenario:

9-14-2012 11-43-30 AM.png

9-14-2012 11-43-30 AM.png
 
Humphrey wins the popular vote by a decent margin, but the four way split prevents anyone from getting a majority in the Electoral College. The Democratic House throws the election to Humphrey, but he probably has to make concessions on Civil Rights issues to get the Southern Wallace-supporters on board.
 
Humphrey wins the popular vote by a decent margin, but the four way split prevents anyone from getting a majority in the Electoral College. The Democratic House throws the election to Humphrey, but he probably has to make concessions on Civil Rights issues to get the Southern Wallace-supporters on board.

I'm not so sure. The more I consider it, the more I think Rockefeller's presence hurts Humphrey more than Reagan, splitting the liberal vote not the GOP vote. He probably does get the popular vote but with the liberal vote split in the north, Reagan may make some unexpected inroads. I think a map like this is quite possible:

9-14-2012 11-43-30 AM.png

Humphrey could still win the popular vote but with so much of the Electoral College represented in the rust belt, a small % swing there could through it all up in the air.

The conservative vote would not be as damaged for Reagan because of Wallace's limited geographic appeal, in my opinion at least.

9-14-2012 11-43-30 AM.png
 
Rockefeller won't do that, but if he did it would hurt Reagan too much in the North. Humphrey takes the E.C. comfortably.
 
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