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What's the easiest way for Carter to win in 1980?

I am skeptical of the idea that if you just take away Reagan, that Carter wins. So many issues came down on Carter at once that I am inclined to believe that even one of the moderate Republicans would have beaten him.

IMO, a Carter re-elect would have to involve some combination of his domestic policy agenda actually passing (in particular the tax reform bill and/or health care legislation that he proposed), along with no energy crisis and either no Iranian Revolution or a better American response to it.

I'm thinking a few small successes like these will make the economy work better come the late '70s and make Carter seem like he knows what he's doing.

Or is Carter doomed to lose because of his dour persona and his malaise-tempered presidency, which didn't inspire anyone?

Also, if Carter is re-elected, does that keep some of what we now think of as Reagan Democrats or conservative populists in the Democratic Party?
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