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Rank these staples of AH 18th and 19th century North Americas according to the plausibility of their coming into being and surviving until the present day as independent states.
State of Deseret
CSA
New England
Metis Assinoboia
French-speaking Republic of Louisiana
Republic of California
Russian Alaska
Republic of Vermont
Quebec
Republic of Texas
New Netherlands
Spanish Florida
New Sweden
Iroquis Confederacy
Sioux Nation
Cherokee Nation
Feel free to add your own if you think I'm making any glaring omissions.