Ramifications of a healthy John of Asturias?

Ferdinand and Isabella, the Catholic Monarchs, had one son who survived into young adulthood named John (or Juan, as the case may be). In OTL he died of tuberculosis at age 19 and his wife Margaret gave birth to a stillborn daughter, which meant the Castilian succession ran through Isabella's daughter Joanna, which paved the way for the House of Habsburg to inherit the eventually sprawling Spanish Empire.

So, what if John was a little healthier?
 
If John is healthy and manages to live, then we would have a Trastamara on the throne of both Castile and Aragon. If he manages to get the Cortes under control, it could lead to a Spain less interested in Europe, depending on what his views of the Reformation, if it even happens are. If the Hapsburgs aren't spread out could we see a more centralized HRE or Dutch staying more Germanic, provided the same problems that lead to the Dutch revolting, dont happen under their watch.
 
Spain will remain under the Trastamaras. One big effect is there won't be any Revolt of Communeros, which was largely caused by Charles V and his appointment of foreigners in Spanish offices. Possible survival of the Princess Isabella and Miguel da Paz (;)) who in this case would be future King of Portugal, only.

John as King would certainly have some nice knockoff effects in Italy. He's close to François Ier's age, so you could see the two having some great rivalry akin to François Ier and Charles V. The Habsburg court remains in the Lowlands; possible division of the territories as I did in PoP, but it's not a guarantee. In fact, Charles V will probably end up married to Anna of Bohemia and Hungary and assuming you get a Mohacs like situation, he'd end up King of Bohemia and pursuing claims over Hungary. These alt. Habsburgs would speak French and be based out of Brussels. The Emperor would be in a much stronger position (especially if/when he manages to take over Hungary).

Possibility of butterflies giving Henry VIII a son with Catherine. No great matter. With an Emperor in a stronger position at home (assuming Charles chooses to remain aloof to France's Italian ambitions--I doubt it very much, though) means the Reformation plays out quite differently. Peasants Revolt could be strangled in it's grave, or Charles, in a position of power takes Martin by force from Saxony and has him burned much like John Hus (would cause an uproar, so blatantly invading territory of an Elector, though). You wouldn't strangle Protestantism in the cradle though, but rather radicalize it. You could end up seeing Lutheranism being even more radical than OTL and Calvinism even more so. I dare say if Charles V is as pious as OTL, the HRE will see many years of upheaval and the French may decide to take advantage of that instead of Italy.
 
Yeah. The smaller the spread of the Reformation the more radicalized it gets, what with the state church countries being less prevalent.

So I was also thinking of butterflying away Habsburg Spain (duh) and I guess that the Habsburgs would have to be a bit more accommodating of the Reformation, possibly because they can't make it go away by pike point when they can't pay for as many soldiers.

And hm, Italy WILL be interesting... :D
 
Yeah. The smaller the spread of the Reformation the more radicalized it gets, what with the state church countries being less prevalent.

So I was also thinking of butterflying away Habsburg Spain (duh) and I guess that the Habsburgs would have to be a bit more accommodating of the Reformation, possibly because they can't make it go away by pike point when they can't pay for as many soldiers.

And hm, Italy WILL be interesting... :D

I completely forgot about Philip as well... he died in Spain due to malaria or something, I believe. So he'd be Emperor in that time frame. HE was certainly a follower of Erasmus and would be more accomodating. Him living gives Charles and Ferdinand more humanist educations, too. Much as in PoP, he might tire of Joanna and lock her up. Or maybe pursue his own divorce. He can afford too given Trastamara Spain isn't the sprawling Habsburg Empire and the Papacy wouldn't be as threatened (yes, they're in Naples, but...). Same goes for Henry VIII if he doesn't get a son.

I know I made Philip rather blundering in my TL and it was because of him Henry couldn't get a divorce and break with Rome.
 
If John survive and had heirs from Margaret is really likely who Miguel da Paz and his parents wedding will be butterflied... (Isabella never want remarry after her first husband death and her parents forced her after John's death because they want an heir for the Spain who was not a children of Joanna and Philip)
 
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