It's hard to imagine a WWI there.
After all, Austrian Empire is broken up, so no more Austrian-Russian rivalry in Balkans.
Even German-Russian rivalry would likely be by proxy, and besides ATL, for 80 years Balkans remained calm (if I remember well). Once the Ottomans were destroyed, neither Austria nor Russia nor France nor local nations stirred conflicts.
Prussia can't start anything serious on her own.
Russia has no reason to start anything in Europe, since she only has small states (no threat) on her border and already has broadly what she wants in Balkan. She grumbled a bit about dissolution of Austrian Empire but now it's done.
UK and France are getting cozy, German Confederation has friendly relations with everyone, and smaller powers can't do anything alone.
It's also likely UK stopped (finally) to harass Ireland, no ? After all, they were busy rebuilding both country, army and navy, and then with all overseas conflicts (Boers, Egypt and so on). So harassing Ireland over old grievances is probably starting to look ridiculous now (if it's continued). Especially as UK seems to get cozy with France, if they do that surely they can forgive Ireland.
Egypt was humiliated but I can't see Egyptians trying their luck against French AND British (and likely Ethiopians and Arameans too), even less being an actual threat there. I can see a long-standing alliance between Aramea and Ethiopia though since both have Egypt on their direct border and might not want to count too much on Brits and French.
Ottoman Empire-Egypt conflict (about caliphate) is now settled and Egypt is even coopted once again by Ottomans.
In Africa, France has no reason to try to go further and is getting cozy with UK (and has already good relations with USA), Egypt has her own problems, and southern Africa is either British, Anglo-US or promised to be Anglo-US (or Portuguese). So maybe small conflicts if Sierra Leone wants to actually conquer the unexplored zone (but the general mood isn't very colonialist so probably not).
Boers probably won't try anything while isolated, and after all they did get their independence.
At most we have :
tensions between China and White powers. After all, Europeans might support quietly Nippon rebels and publicly condemn Chinese atrocities in Nippon. Plus Russia or her vassals control Mongolia, Xinjiang, Tibet and Northern Manchuria. And hardline Chinese nationalists likely want to see Indochina free from French and paying tribute again.
But then Vietnamese hate Chinese probably as much as (if not more than) whites, and Chinese know it. Plus UK, France, USA and Russia ganging up on China might be too much. So not very likely that China does something incredibly stupid, but not impossible either.
Some wars in South America. Maybe between Brazils and/or Argentina, Peru and Chile, Argentina and Chile.
Italy wanting unification.
Spain going all irredentist about Catalonia and Basque lands (if I remember well France made them independent ? or outright annexed them ?). But only if they are INCREDIBLY stupid.
Prussia trying to actually conquer Germany. That would last five minutes though.
Troubles in Low Countries maybe. But France should more or less have quelled them for now (or maybe not really).
Non-Russian provinces wanting independence. In fact if THAT happens I can see the Chinese trying their luck at retaking lost provinces.
A Persian War of Independence maybe, too.
Or troubles in Mughal India (but it seemed fairly calm, understandable as any division could be used by the British to take revenge).
The only thing that could truly spur a big-scale war would be European non-Russian subjects rebelling against the Czar, followed by North Persia doing the same (and inevitable spread to South Persia), and China looking northwards. And Ottoman Empire trying to retake Trebizond and maybe even Transcaucasia.
And/or a war between Aramea-Ethiopia alliance and Egypt (and maybe Ottoman Empire). With Kurdistan and Mesopotamia vilayets aligning on Aramea (because they know the Porte resents their independence).
While at the same time Prussia, Italy and Spain start conflicts, and a South American war happens.
There it'd be global, but that'd be tricky. Even then, probably no major war in Europe.
After all, Austrian Empire is broken up, so no more Austrian-Russian rivalry in Balkans.
Even German-Russian rivalry would likely be by proxy, and besides ATL, for 80 years Balkans remained calm (if I remember well). Once the Ottomans were destroyed, neither Austria nor Russia nor France nor local nations stirred conflicts.
Prussia can't start anything serious on her own.
Russia has no reason to start anything in Europe, since she only has small states (no threat) on her border and already has broadly what she wants in Balkan. She grumbled a bit about dissolution of Austrian Empire but now it's done.
UK and France are getting cozy, German Confederation has friendly relations with everyone, and smaller powers can't do anything alone.
It's also likely UK stopped (finally) to harass Ireland, no ? After all, they were busy rebuilding both country, army and navy, and then with all overseas conflicts (Boers, Egypt and so on). So harassing Ireland over old grievances is probably starting to look ridiculous now (if it's continued). Especially as UK seems to get cozy with France, if they do that surely they can forgive Ireland.
Egypt was humiliated but I can't see Egyptians trying their luck against French AND British (and likely Ethiopians and Arameans too), even less being an actual threat there. I can see a long-standing alliance between Aramea and Ethiopia though since both have Egypt on their direct border and might not want to count too much on Brits and French.
Ottoman Empire-Egypt conflict (about caliphate) is now settled and Egypt is even coopted once again by Ottomans.
In Africa, France has no reason to try to go further and is getting cozy with UK (and has already good relations with USA), Egypt has her own problems, and southern Africa is either British, Anglo-US or promised to be Anglo-US (or Portuguese). So maybe small conflicts if Sierra Leone wants to actually conquer the unexplored zone (but the general mood isn't very colonialist so probably not).
Boers probably won't try anything while isolated, and after all they did get their independence.
At most we have :
tensions between China and White powers. After all, Europeans might support quietly Nippon rebels and publicly condemn Chinese atrocities in Nippon. Plus Russia or her vassals control Mongolia, Xinjiang, Tibet and Northern Manchuria. And hardline Chinese nationalists likely want to see Indochina free from French and paying tribute again.
But then Vietnamese hate Chinese probably as much as (if not more than) whites, and Chinese know it. Plus UK, France, USA and Russia ganging up on China might be too much. So not very likely that China does something incredibly stupid, but not impossible either.
Some wars in South America. Maybe between Brazils and/or Argentina, Peru and Chile, Argentina and Chile.
Italy wanting unification.
Spain going all irredentist about Catalonia and Basque lands (if I remember well France made them independent ? or outright annexed them ?). But only if they are INCREDIBLY stupid.
Prussia trying to actually conquer Germany. That would last five minutes though.
Troubles in Low Countries maybe. But France should more or less have quelled them for now (or maybe not really).
Non-Russian provinces wanting independence. In fact if THAT happens I can see the Chinese trying their luck at retaking lost provinces.
A Persian War of Independence maybe, too.
Or troubles in Mughal India (but it seemed fairly calm, understandable as any division could be used by the British to take revenge).
The only thing that could truly spur a big-scale war would be European non-Russian subjects rebelling against the Czar, followed by North Persia doing the same (and inevitable spread to South Persia), and China looking northwards. And Ottoman Empire trying to retake Trebizond and maybe even Transcaucasia.
And/or a war between Aramea-Ethiopia alliance and Egypt (and maybe Ottoman Empire). With Kurdistan and Mesopotamia vilayets aligning on Aramea (because they know the Porte resents their independence).
While at the same time Prussia, Italy and Spain start conflicts, and a South American war happens.
There it'd be global, but that'd be tricky. Even then, probably no major war in Europe.