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There's been a few threads kicking about regarding the Japanese in WWII, and one regarding a surviving /partial Nazi "victory". So...

It's quite obvious that the Japanese were screwed the moment the declared war on the US; and that said war with the US was largely inevitable the moment they began going after European possessions in the south / west Pacific.
True, they were getting chewed up in the morass of China, but...

Just how far could Japan have pushed the envelope with their colonial/imperialistic ambitions without tipping over the edge of invoking the wrath of the powers that be?
Could they have kept Taiwan?
Could they have gotten away with staying in northern Indochina?
Could they have gotten away with Manchuria? Even in puppet govt format?
Could they have been happy with oil shipments from the Dutch east indies (ala pre June '41)?

How far could they have pushed before going too far and incurring the irrevocable wrath of the US and European states?

And by "surviving", I don't necessarily mean bringing peace, love, and happyness to their Greater East Asia Co-Prosperity Sphere. Rather, "surviving" as in outlasting the mess in Europe (what ever shape that might have taken), and while legitimacy might remain in question, at least de facto rule of the territories that be.

At what point did the Japanese push too far, and how much could they have gotten away with?
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