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What if, in addition to the cities that they captured in our TL, pro-Russian separatists in Ukraine also somehow capture Kharkiv in early 2014?
For the record, a capture of Kharkiv would mean that pro-Russian separatists would be in control of both ends of the Donetsk-Kharkiv road--thus allowing these separatists to trap and encircle the Ukrainian forces which are stuck in the areas east of this road (in other words, in Ukraine's eastern panhandle):
Now, with Ukraine losing all of its territory east of Donetsk and Kharkiv, how far would Russia and pro-Russian separatists be willing to go in Ukraine in this TL?