Present day Ottoman culture in no world wars scenario

Say the world wars are avoided and the ottomans survive till the present day in their 1914 borders.

How does the culture and society of the empire develop?

Now a lot of people immediately say it'd be even more liberal than present day Turkey cause there'd be no Wahhabism and radical Islam. But would that really be the case?
Sure the Ottomans would crush Wahhabis in Arabia and the Muslim world in general would be more liberal. As would the regions of the Ottoman empire such as Syria and Iraq.

But for Turkey proper this also means there's no wide scale modernization and hard core secularization of the Kemal era and his legacy that built secularism into the Turkish national identity. Instead the Ottoman Empire would still officially be the caliphate and would have to use Islam as a biding force to keep it's diverse ethnic groups united.

Some also go so far as to say it'd be seen as more European, and I can't for the life of me contemplate how a theocracy that still uses the Arabic script and stretches to the Indian ocean would somehow be seen as part of Europe more than present day Turkey.

The only real positive development I can see for Turkey in this regard is that it could potentially be wealthier from all the oil money. But I can't be certain of it's social development.

Side note: what of the Armenian/Greek minorities? Sure we'd skip the outright genocide we've seen OTL but it's not like the Armenians were treated amazingly during peactime either (look up Hamidian massacres)
 
A lot of this would depend on how the wars fail to happen and the geopolitical results of that.

Do the Three Pashas and the CUP have an outbreak of common sense? Did a particularly liberal sultan take the throne that was more open to constitutional rule? There would have to have been some kind of settlement with the Arab nationalists, either through decentralization measures or an Austro-Hungarian dualist system as some wanted. Did this not happen, and the Turks simply repressed the hell out of the middle east? Which European great powers exerted the most influence over them over the course of the 20th century, and how'd they invest in the empire?

Personally, I think it would be more plausible to have the wars happen, but the Ottomans sit them out. Taking advantage of the total consumption of Britain and France with a continental war, they could probably get away with dissolving a lot of the economic concessions they did OTL.

Another interesting possibility would be a pro-Entente Ottoman Empire. The Porte was shopping around for alliances in 1913 and 1914, and were actually willing to join the Entente if Russia guaranteed their territorial integrity.
 
A lot of this would depend on how the wars fail to happen and the geopolitical results of that.

Do the Three Pashas and the CUP have an outbreak of common sense? Did a particularly liberal sultan take the throne that was more open to constitutional rule? There would have to have been some kind of settlement with the Arab nationalists, either through decentralization measures or an Austro-Hungarian dualist system as some wanted. Did this not happen, and the Turks simply repressed the hell out of the middle east? Which European great powers exerted the most influence over them over the course of the 20th century, and how'd they invest in the empire?

Personally, I think it would be more plausible to have the wars happen, but the Ottomans sit them out. Taking advantage of the total consumption of Britain and France with a continental war, they could probably get away with dissolving a lot of the economic concessions they did OTL.

Another interesting possibility would be a pro-Entente Ottoman Empire. The Porte was shopping around for alliances in 1913 and 1914, and were actually willing to join the Entente if Russia guaranteed their territorial integrity.

No no I'd rather the wars not happen.
Germany unifying without a war with France and without taking Alsace Lorraine might help to ease out the tensions in western Europe.

As for the internal development of the Ottoman Empire, I don't know. That's the point of this thread for people to speculate.

But I can guess one thing, there's absolutely NO way the Arabs are getting Austria-Hungary treatment.

I don't think people realize this but Austria and Hungary were completely separate entities except for a common monarch and a common millitary and a foreign policy. They were independent from each other in every single way, even having separate citizenship.
Ottomans would never give such privileged status to Arabs.
 
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