OTL pp.490ff, Dr Laura O'Doyle, The Ottoman Empire, Oxford University Press, 2006:
Bad harvests, tax increases and arrears in pay led to strikes and a small mutiny in the army in Macedonia in 1909. The attempted assassination of General Shemsi Pasha by one of his subordinates, and the spread of civil unrest led to the Sultan calling his Council of Ministers, which discussed the situation for two days. Thereafter, shrewdly discerning the risk of civil war, Sultan Abdul Hamid resurrected the constitution of 1877, and recalled parliament, following a general election. He accepted the necessity of compromising with the volatile Young Turks, and appointed Kamil Pasha as Grand Vezir.
Taking advantage of the Empire’s internal confusion, in October Bulgaria declared Prince Ferdinand Tsar of all Bulgarians, in the style of Bulgaria’s mediaeval empire, and the Austro-Hungarian Empire formally annexed Bosnia and Herzegovina from the Ottoman Empire, following secret negotiations between Austria and Russia. The annexation prompted an international outcry, and led to heated diplomatic exchanges. Serbia mobilised her army, furious that her designs on these lands had been so suddenly thwarted, and was barely persuaded to stand down when it became apparent that she could expect no Russian support. Russia knew herself incapable of waging war without French support, and France attempted to smooth over the entire debacle with a suggested conference in Paris to discuss the affair.
Following the advent of the new parliament in Istanbul, Abdul Hamid learned through his intelligence agents of the existence of a planned counter-revolution, and calculated the great danger he could be in should he be associated with it by the restive soldiery in Macedonia. He therefore issued a proclamation reaffirming his faith in the new government to the public on 3rd April, 1910, and warned Kamil Pasha to recall troops in case First Corps attempted to reinstitute the old manner of government. He secretly invited the President of the Senate, Ahmed Riza, to the Yildiz Palace for his own safety.
The counter-revolutionaries were thus weakened and demoralised by Abdul Hamid’s proclamation supporting the new government. So when a number of units mutinied, marching to the square before the Chamber of Deputies, they were met by a few companies swiftly dispatched from the Macedonian Army, under a promising fiery young officer, Mustafa Kemal. Although Kemal’s men were few in number, they served as a focal point for loyalist forces, and reinforcements soon arrived under General Shemsi Pasha. The Counter-Revolution of 5th April, 1910 was swiftly crushed, and Abdul Hamid’s judicious manoeuvring and wise use of his intelligence service earned him some trust from the previously suspicious Young Turks of the Macedonian Army.
While the populace and Parliament hailed the Sultan as the saviour of the nascent Parliament. Ahmed Riza, filled with gratitude and trust, hailed the actions of the Sultan in averting the overthrow of the new state. In the aftermath, Abdul Hamid again proclaimed his full support for the new system, and even grudgingly accepted Ahmed Riza’s suggestion that he should curtail some of his powers. A parliamentary committee was convened which gradually stripped the Sultan of his powers in the following years, reducing him to a figurehead monarch. As a result of both his actions in defence of the new democracy and the reduction in his powers, his popularity was at greater heights than for many years, and the modernists who wished to remove him from power found their plans short-circuited.
During 1911 a number of significant reforms were enacted, and there began to be a clear demarcation in the new Parliament between several parties, each espousing differing goals, that nonetheless tended toward modernisation. The elections of 1912 marked a new age. Even despite what later generations would regard as an unacceptable amount of interference in the democratic process by traditionalist elements and reformers in the military, they were widely seen as a step in the right direction both by the population of the Empire and by the Great Powers. However, danger loomed in the shape of Italian populism. By late February, Italy was firmly at war with the Empire, seeking to benefit herself by acquiring Libya.
Lacking any form of naval superiority, and rebuffed in her desire to send soldiers across Egypt - which embarrassingly declared her neutrality under Britain – the most the Ottoman military could do was dispatch a cadre of officers to organise local resistance. However, the achieved successes out of all proportion to their numbers against the technologically superior, better supplied Italians, despite the Italians’ increasing use of airpower. Although this did lead to the unlucky claims of Mahmud Shevket Pasha and Enver Bey to be the first high-ranking officers killed by aerial bombing in time of war.
Nonetheless, the surviving Chief-of-Staff, Captain Kemal Pasha, waged a stunning campaign, all but destroying the initial Italian force, and compelling the sending of several divisions of reinforcements to conquer and hold down Libya. The Empire had ordered from British yards several powerful modern warships, but these were still under construction, and would not be available for the war. Meanwhile, in the Balkans disaster threatened...