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Looking at ethnic maps of the Balkans in the mid-to-late 1800s, you'll notice that in northeastern Bulgaria, there are verylargeareas with a Turkish majority. How likely would it have been for these Turks to achieve an independent state apart from Bulgaria? Maybe something like this, or smaller?
I imagine the Turks in Bulgaria during the 1860s and 1870s may have realized there was an increasing trend towards fragmentation and independence of the Ottoman Balkans, and that the rise of Bulgarian nationalism could endanger their culture and territory, perhaps leading to action towards independence and development of a national identity. This could be especially urgent after the Bulgarian revolt of 1876 and the impending threat of war with Russia.
Would the Turks of the region been able to resist the Bulgarian desire to incorporate their land into the Bulgarian national state? How would European powers react to a Turkish independence movement in the area? Perhaps many would be favorably-disposed towards it as a counterbalance to Russian influence? How would this Turkish national identity develop - what might they call themselves? What might the country be called?