Port Arthur Falls Early

By some miracle, General Nogi's Third IJ Army is able to breech Port Arthur's defenses and marches up North in time for the battle of Liaoyang. IJA decisively engages and destroys Russian forces there. What would Russia have done next?
 
The answer to that would depend heavily on the political fallout of that disaster.
You can't really just go look at their OTL response and add to Japanese strengh a bit and reduce Russian strength, then calculate the new results. Well you could, but that woul be a best-case for Russia.
 
Well its going to take a major maricle for that to happen and then the question is how well does the Russian fleet do in its breakout attempt.

If it were to happen, the Russian would have fallen back towards Mukden and the north.
 
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