Population spread outside of London

In the UK London is currently the largest city by a large degree at around 8.5 million with the next biggest city being Birmingham at just over a million people, with the third largest city being Leeds at 750,000 people and 589,000 and 552,000 to Glasgow and Sheffield respectively. How would it be possible for the population to be spread around to other cities such as Manchester, Bristol, Glasgow, Liverpool, Cardiff for example preferably to over 600,000 each?

This could be done in several ways such as expanding the borders of the cities, encourage immigration to cities other than the capital and increased investment in the other cities.

Other than that I am not sure how this can come about and I will appreciate any feedback and answers.
 

Devvy

Donor
This could be done in several ways such as expanding the borders of the cities

Part of the problem lies within our definition of a city. The entire London builtup area (Greater London) is usually defined as the city, so is clearly around 8.5million as you say.

The other cities all have differing definitions of the city which makes it hard. Birmingham may be around 1.1 million, but "Greater Birmingham" (West Midlands urban area) is around 2.5 million.

Likewise for Manchester - technically 514,000 people. But that area doesn't even include Salford - which most people would instinctively group as part of Manchester. "Greater Manchester" (urban area, not the county) is around 2.2 million.

As for bolstering them up; all cities north of the Watford Gap suffered during deindustrialisation. That's a major economic hiccup to overcome. Ultimately though, people go where there are jobs, which is why London dominates OTL. My best guess would be some kind of tax breaks and incentives in certain "development zones" in each area for 10-15 years to encourage companies to set up "ooop narth". Major banking is never going to leave the City of London (and Canary Wharf later on), but many other major corporate headquaters could be established/moved further north if given a little nudge.
 
Well for Birmingham you could try and avoid insanity such as the Distribution of Industry Act 1945, the Control of Office Employment Act 1965, or the active plan to decrease the size of the city after the war would all be good moves. Here's a brief outline that I read from The Economist a few years back

Birmingham - How to Kill a City

This blog often makes the argument that Britain's planning laws all too often restrict and prevent investment which might create economic growth. It is worth remembering occasionally that things were once much worse. For proof of that, see this fascinating post on Birmingham's economy in the 1950s and 1960s, by Henry Overman, of the LSE's Spatial Economics Research Centre. It's worth reading the whole thing, but a cut down version of the post is copied below:

Birmingham itself was second only to London for the creation of new jobs between 1951 and 1961. Unemployment in Birmingham between 1948 and 1966 rarely exceeded 1%, and only exceeded 2% in one year. By 1961 household incomes in the West Midlands were 13% above the national average, exceeding even than those of London and the South East.

Declaring the growth in population and employment within Birmingham to be a "threatening situation", the incoming Labour Government of 1964 sought "to control the growth of office accommodation in Birmingham and the rest of the Birmingham conurbation before it got out of hand, in the same way as they control the growth of industrial employment". Although the City Council had encouraged service sector expansion during the late 1950s and early 1960s, central government extended the Control of Office Employment Act 1965 to the Birmingham conurbation from 1965, effectively banning all further office development for almost two decades.

Up until the 1930s it had been a basic assumption of Birmingham's leaders that their role was to encourage the city's growth. Post-war national governments, however, saw Birmingham's accelerating economic success as a damaging influence on the stagnating economies of the North of England, Scotland and Wales, and saw its physical expansion as a threat to its surrounding areas – "from Westminster's point of view was too large, too prosperous, and had to be held in check".

A series of measures, starting with the Distribution of Industry Act 1945, aimed to prevent industrial growth in the "Congested Areas" – essentially the booming cities of London and Birmingham – instead encouraging the dispersal of industry to the economically stagnant "Development Areas" in the north and west. The West Midlands Plan, commissioned by the Minister for Town and Country Planning from Patrick Abercrombie and Herbert Jackson in 1946, set Birmingham a target population for 1960 of 990,000, far less than its actual 1951 population of 1,113,000.

This meant that 220,000 people would have to leave the city over the following 14 years, that some of the city's industries would have to be removed, and that new industries would need to be prevented from establishing themselves in the city. By 1957 the council had explicitly accepted that it was obliged "to restrain the growth of population and employment potential within the city."
In the post-war era, there was a strong sense among British politicians that cities were slightly unpleasant things like mushrooms that ought not be allowed to grow too fast. Inspired by utopian city planners such as Ebenezer Howard and Le Corbusier, they decided that urban metropolises had to be cut back. Without much consultation, enormous numbers of people were "decanted" from inner-city slums to grey suburban council estates, where loneliness and crime thrived. Meanwhile, the city centres themselves were strangled with great elevated roads intended to get people in and out of the "commercial" zones. Birmingham probably suffered the worst of anywhere. Even Joseph Chamberlain's grand Council House was surrounded by roads.

The result was the doughnut city: a tiny commercial core, cut off from the rest of the city by ringroads and by a vast belt of derelict Victorian properties. In repopulated London, I have never felt unsafe walking home late at night. Even today, Birmingham's inner city has quite a different, emptier feel. Perhaps most outrageously, the restrictions on development didn't even save the city's architecture. The beautiful Victorian New Street Station was knocked down and replaced with a grim, urine-soaked box; the Edwardian shopfronts on New Street were replaced with plastic and concrete. Over time, that helped to turn Birmingham from the country's most successful big cities into one of its least.

Much of the damage has now been undone. Birmingham's city centre has been transformed in the last thirty years. But in many respects, the British government's mind set is much the same. Big cities—even including London—have even less power over their own futures. Under Labour, national and regional plans forgot cities. Even under the Coalition, cities are at best marginally freer—and now crippled by budget cuts. In London, Boris Johnson, the mayor, and Tony Travers, the director of the Greater London Group at the LSE, are making a strong case for the capital to have more power over taxation. London keeps just 7% of the taxes raised in the city; in New York, the figure is 50%. Central planning has never worked in boosting cities; perhaps it is time they had a little freedom.
Now they might have meant well but nice intentions are no compensation when things get fucked up as this. The broad results were that by forcing industry out of the region you lost the benefits of agglomeration and associated advances, it also made the region into a monoculture almost wholly reliant on the automotive manufacturing industry so that when the arse fell out of the sector it hit the region incredibly hard. Banning the creation of more office space meant thanks to the law of supply and demand rents went up massively, and past a certain point if you're being asked to pay London silly-money levels the question becomes then why not actually be in London with all of its attractions instead or at least a cheaper provincial city. So bye-bye the growing merchant banking, legal, scientific and other service industries that had originally been attracted by the city's industry and growth that had helped make up for the initial decline in industrial manufacturing.

As I said on one of the other threads a few days back if you believe in Zipf's law - that on average the second largest city tends to be half the size of the largest one nationally, the third largest half the size of the second largest and so on without active interventions to affect it - then reasonably Birmingham/West Midlands Region could of expected to have a population of roughly 4 million compared to Greater London with 8 million people as opposed to our timeline's 2.4 million and 9.7 million respectively. Having a proper second city might be able to dent some of the concentration on London and the South-East but things are still likely to be fairly London-centric. If you can build up, or maintain the already existing, critical mass then you might be able to avoid the somewhat self-fulfilling prophecy of everyone moving to London, all the jobs via expansions or new start-ups get created in London, everyone gets drawn to London, repeat ad nauseam. Better transport links such as British Rail's historic APT programme/current High Speed 2 would allow firms to locate outside London but travel in for a day to meet clients or attend meetings.
 
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