The critical variable is the Confederacy. Confederate 'culture' such as it was, was swept away on the virtues of 'elan', the notion that one southerner was worth ten northerners, and presumably twenty mexicans in a fight.
The Confederate military, for all its vaunted heroism, principally fought on or adjacent to home territory. That meant logistics lines and supply lines were short to nonexistent. I don't think that the Confederacy ever developed a substantive logistical capacity. And I would expect that if they won the war, their military theories or approach would be validated. In which case, they'd be unlikely to develop a logistic capacity.
Projecting power, and maintaining a significant army in northern Mexico would be an extremely hard thing. Impossible perhaps, under the circumstances. I could easily see a handicapped Confederate army, lacking logistical capacity, with poor supply, poor medicine, marching into northern Mexico and simply falling apart.
I'd have to give it to Mexico, minor victory.
Major Mexican victory would be fun, but I don't think that Mexico has much in the way of logistic capacities either.
In a case like this, all advantages go to home ground.
The Confederate military, for all its vaunted heroism, principally fought on or adjacent to home territory. That meant logistics lines and supply lines were short to nonexistent. I don't think that the Confederacy ever developed a substantive logistical capacity. And I would expect that if they won the war, their military theories or approach would be validated. In which case, they'd be unlikely to develop a logistic capacity.
Projecting power, and maintaining a significant army in northern Mexico would be an extremely hard thing. Impossible perhaps, under the circumstances. I could easily see a handicapped Confederate army, lacking logistical capacity, with poor supply, poor medicine, marching into northern Mexico and simply falling apart.
I'd have to give it to Mexico, minor victory.
Major Mexican victory would be fun, but I don't think that Mexico has much in the way of logistic capacities either.
In a case like this, all advantages go to home ground.