alternatehistory.com

All options assume a PoD no earlier than after the First Battle of Bull Run (and no ASBs, naturally).

1. No, the CSA was doomed from the start. (and please, no quibbling on whether this contradicts the previous sentence)

2. Yes, but only with foreign recognition and/or intervention. Nappy and/or Palmerson have to break the CSA blockade and negotiate a ceasefire, etc.

3. The CSA could have achieved independence essentially on its own. This includes fighting the Union to a ceasefire, sieging and taking DC, etc
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