The planned coup was criticized by historians as unrealistic for the following reasons.
Piłsudski's plan was based on false assumptions and faulty intelligence, which incorrectly indicated that the Sleževičius government was deeply unpopular, and that the general Lithuanian population was relatively friendly to Poland.
[33] No notable ethnic Lithuanian politicians declared support for the plan; the plan relied on support from General Žukauskas, but his support was never confirmed (adding to this myself, I'd say that his support was impossible, he was a Lithuanian nationalist and even supported the 1926 nationalist coup); Narutowicz, who was to head the civilian government, was a Pole; the PMO was weak and incapable of taking control if the coup met any significant resistance;
and intervention of the Polish army would have led to bloodshed and undermined the idea of a voluntary union or alliance with Poland.[20] The only group that supported the coup was the
Polish minority in Lithuania, increasingly alienated by Lithuanian government policies.
[34] However, according to the
Lithuanian census of 1923,
the minority constituted 3.2% of the population outside the Vilnius Region.[35] On the ground, the uprising was doomed by poor communication and the overeagerness of some of the PMO activists.