Poland instead of Balkan as flash-point between Austria and Russia

what if Austria joint allies in Crimean war and got Romania plus Bessarabia and Hapsburg king in congress Poland. but German unification happen on schedule in 1870 and Russia get back congress Poland in 1871.

Russia get congress Poland as reward because she mobilized in Franco-Prussian war against congress Poland and Austria but Russia didn't joint war . after Franco-Prussian war Bismarck allow Russia to capture congress Poland in 1872. will Poland replace Balkan as flash-point between Austria and Russia?.
Hapsburg still have Lombardy and Veneto and Tuscany plus whole Danube and dniester river as border.
 
I don't see a TL that progresses as you picture it.

1. AH joins in against Russia in Crimean war - check
2. Austria gains "Russian Poland"+"Romania including Bessarabia"- reluctant check - that would Need a decisive win against Russia and the Ottoma Empire giving up something too. What would Britain/France and especially the OE gain in such a Scenario (OE the Krim + Caucasus territories) - you can't give one Nation a big gain and the otehrs nothing.
3. Austrian King in Poland - unklikely FJ would "rule" Poland as part of the Austrian Empire.
4. Austria either not forced to fight the 1859 war or winning it. - check given the above gains.

Given 1-4 Austria is much strionger and has less problems compared to OTL. That means PRussia is in no Position to realistically win the German war of 1866 - that is German unification is dead and Austria rules supreme a loose German Federation.

Austro Russian Relations will be bad though...
 
worst Russia defeat in Crimean war

1- french and British pursued Russian after battle of Alma 1854.
in OTL Russian retreat turned into route after battle of Alma .
Had the allies pursued the Russians at this point, they might have taken Sevastopol by surprise.

2-Polish revolt in congress Poland à la January uprising in 1854

3- Austria declare war on Russia . France send army to support
Austria

4-Sweden declare war on Russia and invade Finland

5- British-Ottoman invasion of Rostov-on-don is successful
Don river is open for Allied ships in 1855 Azov sea campaign
 
Allied war aims crimean war

allied gain in Crimean war

1- Austria gain Romania and Bessarabia

2- Ottoman gain Crimea. south and north of Caucasus
Kuban-Terek river as border

3-congress Poland interdependent Under Hapsburg or Bonapartist king

4- Sweden gain Finland in border of 1721

5- what are France and Britain war aims in Crimean war ?
 
Top