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Ok, so my question is simple. Today, Russia is a nation which due to a number of factors not excluding it's geographic location, is in a position of holding a huge abundance of natural wealth. Whilst at the same time there are regions of Russia which are still suffering from the effects of 'dirty wars' and quiet repression (chechnya for one, but regions on the Caspian etc as well).

My question is simple, with a POD in the 14th or 15th century at the earliest, is it possible to have some sort of Polish speaking nation take the place of Russia, and the Muscovites to be reduced to a status similar to Chechnya or in the early 20th century the Ukraine.

My question isn't 'is there a TL in which Poland is the major power controlling Siberia and most of Eastern Europe', but rather is it theoretically possible for this to eventually be the case and, if so, where's the best place to start.

Thanks

Overlord
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