POD Help-Hungarian Revolution of 1848 Successful?

I've recently gotten an interest in Hungarian history, and have been trying to think of POD's for timelines involving Hungary. I recently learned about the Hungarian Revolution of 1848 and thought that could be a perfect pod point for a Hungarian timeline...

the only problem is, at this exact moment, I'm not exactly sure what might during this period be the best divergence point. So I was wondering if anyone had any suggestions.

And while I'm at it, if anyone knows any good sources for Hungarian history during this period besides wikipedia, I would appreciate knowing said sources.
 
The most important thing for the Magyars is not to completely piss off every other ethnic group in Hungary prior to the revolution. If a more sane leadership is at the helm of the revolution and they can make a deal with the Croats the Habsburgs will in neck deep problems.
 
Have the Magyars mobilize across the Hungarian-Austrian border to march on Vienna to aid the radical uprising there just a day earlier; on the 28th instead of the 29th, at least. This means either have Görgey, Móga, Guyon, or a non-OTL commander such as Kossuth, arrive on the scene and decide to mobilize the honvéd immediately. The Hungarians essentially take the position ITTL the Austrians had IOTL, hidden behind the heights of Schwechat, forcing the enemy to funnel through a narrow crevice to meet their attack. With this victory and the 'liberation' of Vienna the Hungarians destroy the only effective fighting force the Hapsburgs have left, decapitate the Hapsburgs military and social leadership;with the imperial family only a few miles away in Olmütz, with no way out, surrounded by radical revolutionaries and the Magyar armies, they're quickly captured as well. The Revolution is over, Austria is folded into Großdeutschland, and Hungary is independent (along with Italy, and likely Bohemia and Austrian Poland as well).

Further, if Jelačić is killed or at least prevented from retreating the field, Hungary now holds not only the ethnic Magyar lands, or even just the Transleithania, but all of the lands of the Crown of St. Stephen, making Hungary into a very large, rich, and formidable state if she's able to suppress the various ethnic uprisings she's facing.

Also, ;)
 
You must also count in Russian Empire and her RL intervention. Let's just say that Tsar Nicholas I. isn't that much of an international reactionary or has something else to occupy him and rest of Europe ( earlier Crimean War maybe ? ) that deem that more worthy their attention than involving in Hapsburg's troubles.
 
Independent Hungary=disturbed balance of power!!!

Take into account that independent Hungary would disturb balance of power in Europe-Britain will not be happy. Hungary would be weaker than united Habsburg Empire, so wouldn't be good candidate to counterbalance russian influences in Balkans. Brits will do everything in their power to save Austria-and thus the balance of power.
 
You must also count in Russian Empire and her RL intervention. Let's just say that Tsar Nicholas I. isn't that much of an international reactionary or has something else to occupy him and rest of Europe ( earlier Crimean War maybe ? ) that deem that more worthy their attention than involving in Hapsburg's troubles.

Nicholas was actually quite reluctant to take any action in regards to Hungary. He only did so after much foot-dragging after, literally, being begged off by Emperor Franz Joseph. From his knees. Kissing the Tsar's ring. A Magyar victory at Schwechat, or really any other 'Hungarian victory' scenario, isn't going to put Franz Joseph, or whoever the Austrian Emperor is, into a position to beg the Russians for assistance, and thus we'll likely never see the Russian Intervention ITTL. Nicholas was far more concerned with isolating Russia from the Springtime of Peoples behind his 'paper curtain' of censorship than he was with intervening in the other European states (Poland & Romania don't count ;)).

Take into account that independent Hungary would disturb balance of power in Europe-Britain will not be happy. Hungary would be weaker than united Habsburg Empire, so wouldn't be good candidate to counterbalance russian influences in Balkans. Brits will do everything in their power to save Austria-and thus the balance of power.

I'm not quite sure what exactly Britain can do in this case considering the facts on the ground are happening much too fast and too far outside of London's reach. By the time the British would have heard of the Magyars fait accompli the radicals in Vienna would have already taken over the German-speaking parts of the Empire, the Hungarians would be independent, and essentially all of the paperwork to make this de-jure and not just de-facto would have already been taken care of.

At best the British Mediterranean Squadron occupies Trieste and Fiume to prevent Magyar honvéd armies from occupying them, but then it becomes a long-running question of what to do with those cities in the aftermath; hand them over to the Magyars, to the Germans, occupy them for perpetuity, or set them up as some sort of independent 'Dalmatian Free State'.
 
If the Brits land in Triese and Fiume/Rijeka they could supply Croat forces with at least some additional weapons and even if Slavonia ends up as part of this new Hungarian state, Dalmatia could be set up as an independent south slav state, or a British possession.
 
If the Brits land in Triese and Fiume/Rijeka they could supply Croat forces with at least some additional weapons
Brits can also aid Austrians financially. Hungarians may be strong enough to liberate their kingdom, but not enough strong to totally destroy austrian army and to conquer Cisleithania, so Habsburgs could continue war until ultimate victory, or maybe ultimate agreement-earlier Austria-Hungary?
 
If the Brits land in Triese and Fiume/Rijeka they could supply Croat forces with at least some additional weapons and even if Slavonia ends up as part of this new Hungarian state, Dalmatia could be set up as an independent south slav state, or a British possession.

As stated above, for this to work Hungarians must have followed a different policy toward their minorities. Croats are crucial in this regard. If they join the rebellion - or at least are somewhat neutral - the Hapsburgs lost an important ally.

In such a situation British intervention will be set between rebellious Hungarian troops and advancing Italian troops, whereas whatever remains loyal to the Hapsburgs is going North to defend the Emperor himself. I doubt that Britain would want to get involved in such a mess.

The ultimate problem is as wolf_brother puts it: the Hungarians being more successful implies the Hapsburgs to be a lot less successful and the whole situation to be a lot more chaotic. I agree that Britain would prefer the status quo - but I doubt that they would have the time to react, or the will to put the necessary forces on the ground to defend an absolutist monarch against a Europe-wide development.

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Considering the overall development of Hungary: 1848 succeeding in Germany may give the Hungarians a powerful ally. France is pre-occupied by internal problems, the Italian states are to weak (which could be changed in an earler POD, though). With Germany united and willing to intervene, the Hapsburgs have no chance to win. With Germany united and considering to intervene, the Hapsburgs have much less troops to spare.
 
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