Here's is a basic outline for a scenario I have thought of. No Morocco Crises and a smaller German Navy leads to a UK that is less afraid of Germany and so never allies with France. Russia is more expansionist, with tensions with Britain in Afghanistan and Persia. As a result of this, the Anglo-Japanese alliance is strengthened. WWI still rolls on in a similar manner, and when it begins France invades Belgium first to gain a better position. Germany invades soon after, prompting a British DOW on France and Germany. Japan joins and attacks Russia in the East. I imagine Germany would overrun France, with Britain and Japan splitting the French colonies. Japan is successful against Russia in the East and Britain eventually makes a status quo ante bellum peace with Germany. Germany takes land from France and Russia, Britain takes French colonies, and Japan takes a portion of the Russian Far East.
How plausible is this, and what are ways to make it make more sense. Specifically, do you think Britain would take German colonies or not in the peace deal, and would Germany accept this?
How plausible is this, and what are ways to make it make more sense. Specifically, do you think Britain would take German colonies or not in the peace deal, and would Germany accept this?