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I've finally come to the conclusion that I'm writing a TL about Ethiopia, or similar Kingdoms in the area.
My overall plan is to find one or more PODs that have Ethiopia:
1: Control the beginning of the Nile
2: Have enough of a military to invade Egypt.
But that's where things get tricky. My plan is to have Ethiopia purposely dam the Nile River so that the annual floods don't happen, causing a drought in the Fatimid Caliphate around the time that Basil the Bulgar Slayer is fighting the Fatimids, around the year 991. This would, in my mind, prompt Basil to take the initiative and plunge further down the Holy Land, and Ethiopia would march down the Nile.
Is this plausible? As this could be my first TL, a lot of feedback would be appreciated!