Plausibility Check: Janissary Sultanate

So how plausible is it for the Janissary to establish an independent sultanate opposed to the ottomans? Could it be in the Balkans, and would it survive to the present? Comments and corrections much appreciated :)
 

yourworstnightmare

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So how plausible is it for the Janissary to establish an independent sultanate opposed to the ottomans? Could it be in the Balkans, and would it survive to the present? Comments and corrections much appreciated :)
For this to happen the Ottoman dynasty need to go extinct, I think. The Janissaries could then assume power. It could perhaps be a little like the Mamluks in Egypt. I wonder if it would be strictly dynastic like the Bahri dynasty, or well the Burji dynasty is suspected to have had a few adoptions (sultans adopting a Mamluk as his heir if he lack one) at least in the beginning before the Mamluks simply became an upper class.

Another interesting question is how fast would the Janissaries become a normal aristocracy. For the Mamluks that happened late, even when they ruled, it was a slavocracy, the Slave Army ruled the kingdom and therefore they had to buy more slaves to fill their ranks (since their children were born Muslims and thus free, and couldn't be Mamluks). Would the Janissary Sultanate be a Slavocracy first, and then after a while (that can even be a century) abandon the old rule and proclaim the Janissary membership being inheritable.
 
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That would only happen if a Sultan tried to take away their privileges and the Janissaries are forced to succeed, not beating back the Sultanate, but not being crushed. However this assumes that the Janissaries would still be unruly and resist modernization. The Osman Dynasty going extinct short of mass slaughter or plague is unlikely itself, unless during the Ottoman period of fratricides, everyone dies.
 
Since the children of janissaries are, by definition, not janissaries, this tough.

Although, as pointed out, the mamluks managed it, with a similar problem.
 
Actually, after the late 16th century, they were. One of many reasons for their decline.

perhaps the janissary sultanate can be more successful in maintaining the "purity" of the recruits.. also, you can imagine the empire focused more on the west so there would be lots of christian babies to pluck.
 
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