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So in my TL Austria: Never Forget Thy Past, I had (for lack of a better word) a side-plot of the establishment of a Monarchy in Ireland in the late 1930s. I've recently begun work on revamping ANFTP and some of the constructive criticism I've received got me thinking that maybe an independent Irish Monarchy under the House of Guinness (which converts to Catholicism to take the throne of St. Patrick) is a little unlikely. So I was wondering what the likelihood of an Irish Monarchy is?

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Heres a link to A:NFTP if anyone needs it for reference (I don't remember when exactly I have the bulk of the events around this as I haven't gotten anywhere near that far in the revamp yet):
https://www.alternatehistory.com/discussion/showthread.php?t=85482
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