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Okay, so I'm working on an idea for a timeline which is basically built on the idea that the CSA survived, but was an agricultural shithole that fell to communist agitation in the 1920s, and I was curious about plausibility.

Here's the general gist:

  • Confederacy wins Gettysburg or whatever, and the British guarantee them, et cetera, no one gives a shit.
  • Immigration is a trickle, and blacks have the "advantage" of being extremely poor and having relatively little education; a black population advantage over white Confederates slowly appears.
  • King Cotton collapses in the late 1870s/early 1880s, leading to emancipation in all states except South Carolina and Mississippi (which do emancipate, but later, during the Great War because of their very high slave populations).
  • The large black population ends up becoming the majority of the urban poor and industrial workers (that is, the proletariat) following the growth of southern factories in the 1890s.
  • With the outbreak of the Great War in Europe, the CSA declares war on Germany because of her being something of a satellite state of the British.
  • Fearful of demographics and desperate to feed the war machine, the Confederates begin mass recruitment and conscription of the black population. These new black soldiers end up becoming a majority of the Confederate military, and many become radicalized.
  • After the war, these soldiers return home, find things are exactly as bad as they left.
  • A race riot erupts into full-scale urban warfare as black former soldiers retaliate against white lynch mobs.
  • Communist elements push forward a revolution on the back of this and similar events.
  • Collapse of the CSA, eventual success of the communists in establishing a new order in its former territories.
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