Plausibility Check: Continuing French Fourth Republic

Could the French Fourth Republic have lasted until the present? If not, how much longer could it have lasted? What effects would a surviving 4th Republic have up until, say, 1970, assuming that beyond that butterflies make it too difficult to tell what happens politically?
 

The Vulture

Banned
I honestly don't think it could've lasted more than a few more years. If it somehow hangs on, then Algeria probably splits away earlier than OTL.
 
My guess is that it would work only if you defined the Fourth Republic loosely, ie. it had a different constitutional structure. Looking at Wikipedia (yes, yes, but this isn't very...partisan information) it was quite unstable. Lots of Government changes between it's establishment and the Fifth Republic. So, if the constitution increases the stability compared to OTL, especially if it increases it to the stability of the Fifth Republic, then it has quite a good chance of lasting to today, or beyond.
 
If de Gaulle hadn't returned to power then there would've been an outright military takeover by a far-right junta led by Massu & Co. The 4th R. was far too weak for effective governance, especially at the executive level. That's why de Gaulle resigned in 1946: he wanted a strong executive but they didn't because they feared a repeat of 1940. De Gaulle was probably the only one whom the French public would give practically unlimited (even more than the POTUS IIRC) power to without fearing a lapse into dictatorship.
 
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