Plausibility Check: 1908

How likely would it have been for Teddy Roosevelt to have run and won in 1908?
What effects would it have?
Who would make up his cabinet this time?
 
If he didn't announce his retirement on election night 1904 to a bunch of reporters, thus rendering himself a lame duck domestically for his entire second term, then he would've run and won easily. If he runs in 1912 then the 2-term tradition is permanently shattered and there would probably not be a 22nd Amendment or an ATL equivalent.
 
Since he had been President. For seven years,there would have been a no more third term issue.I think he would still win I also think that he would not have run in 1912. His candidate, almost certainly Taft would have led a united Republican party to victory. I think Taft would have disappointed TR, just as he did OTL, and led to Roosevelt running as the Bull Moose candidate in 1916. This means a Democrat is elected but who and what ideas does he bring to Versailles?
 
Since he had been President. For seven years,there would have been a no more third term issue.I think he would still win I also think that he would not have run in 1912. His candidate, almost certainly Taft would have led a united Republican party to victory. I think Taft would have disappointed TR, just as he did OTL, and led to Roosevelt running as the Bull Moose candidate in 1916. This means a Democrat is elected but who and what ideas does he bring to Versailles?

Interesting up until your 1916 scenario, which I disagree with. The pro-business, pro-industry, pro-shipping Republicans were far more likely to intervene prior to 1917 than the Democrats, burdened as they were by their Bryanite wing. If Taft or some other Republican wins in 1912 (not a certainty, of course), then (assuming butterflies don't wipe out WW1 up to that point as we know it) 1916 is probably not a peacetime election, and whoever is in office is almost guaranteed reelection.
 
Interesting up until your 1916 scenario, which I disagree with. The pro-business, pro-industry, pro-shipping Republicans were far more likely to intervene prior to 1917 than the Democrats, burdened as they were by their Bryanite wing. If Taft or some other Republican wins in 1912 (not a certainty, of course), then (assuming butterflies don't wipe out WW1 up to that point as we know it) 1916 is probably not a peacetime election, and whoever is in office is almost guaranteed reelection.

Germans and Irish too.
 
If he didn't announce his retirement on election night 1904 to a bunch of reporters, thus rendering himself a lame duck domestically for his entire second term, then he would've run and won easily. If he runs in 1912 then the 2-term tradition is permanently shattered and there would probably not be a 22nd Amendment or an ATL equivalent.

I'm not sure that this would shatter the tradition, but tweak it, like one might argue Cleveland did with his non-consectutive terms.
 
Interesting up until your 1916 scenario, which I disagree with. The pro-business, pro-industry, pro-shipping Republicans were far more likely to intervene prior to 1917 than the Democrats, burdened as they were by their Bryanite wing. If Taft or some other Republican wins in 1912 (not a certainty, of course), then (assuming butterflies don't wipe out WW1 up to that point as we know it) 1916 is probably not a peacetime election, and whoever is in office is almost guaranteed reelection.

Well, the assassination was one of the more bizarre catastrophe-starters in history, what with the other guy missing at first and Franz-Ferdy going down the wrong street and the engine stalling and Gavrilo Princip happening to be on that particular street. So the butterflies probably make the war start differently. I'm sure there are all sorts of ways it could start, some during TR's 08-12 term.
 
Since he had been President. For seven years,there would have been a no more third term issue.I think he would still win I also think that he would not have run in 1912. His candidate, almost certainly Taft would have led a united Republican party to victory.

Actually, it probably won't be Taft, who would most likely have become Chief Justice in 1910. Hughes, maybe?

Whoever it is, following on after a giant like TR is always a major handicap, making re-election hugely problematic, so the Democrats probably win in 1916.
 
OK say Roosevelt wins who would be in his cabinet? His VP? Would he keep the old guard of the last term or get new blood?
 
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