Since he had been President. For seven years,there would have been a no more third term issue.I think he would still win I also think that he would not have run in 1912. His candidate, almost certainly Taft would have led a united Republican party to victory. I think Taft would have disappointed TR, just as he did OTL, and led to Roosevelt running as the Bull Moose candidate in 1916. This means a Democrat is elected but who and what ideas does he bring to Versailles?
Interesting up until your 1916 scenario, which I disagree with. The pro-business, pro-industry, pro-shipping Republicans were far more likely to intervene prior to 1917 than the Democrats, burdened as they were by their Bryanite wing. If Taft or some other Republican wins in 1912 (not a certainty, of course), then (assuming butterflies don't wipe out WW1 up to that point as we know it) 1916 is probably not a peacetime election, and whoever is in office is almost guaranteed reelection.
If he didn't announce his retirement on election night 1904 to a bunch of reporters, thus rendering himself a lame duck domestically for his entire second term, then he would've run and won easily. If he runs in 1912 then the 2-term tradition is permanently shattered and there would probably not be a 22nd Amendment or an ATL equivalent.
Interesting up until your 1916 scenario, which I disagree with. The pro-business, pro-industry, pro-shipping Republicans were far more likely to intervene prior to 1917 than the Democrats, burdened as they were by their Bryanite wing. If Taft or some other Republican wins in 1912 (not a certainty, of course), then (assuming butterflies don't wipe out WW1 up to that point as we know it) 1916 is probably not a peacetime election, and whoever is in office is almost guaranteed reelection.
I'm not even aware of where TR stood on Germany before the First World War in our timeline.
They had some bickering about Guam IIRC.
Since he had been President. For seven years,there would have been a no more third term issue.I think he would still win I also think that he would not have run in 1912. His candidate, almost certainly Taft would have led a united Republican party to victory.