Plausibility Check: 1900 ACW

I plan to make this a Timeline with SH:

in 1860, Stephen Douglas dies and Breckenridge becomes the Democratic Nominee instead. Because of this, the Dems have a united front against the Republicans and are able to win but only barely. in 1863, the Negro Families Act is passed in which while Slavery is outlawed De Facto but not really De Jure outlawed. Really, Slaves are to be freed but they have no choice but to live with their former masters and help them work the land. however, as the former slaves will be considered citizens, whipping them and punishing them will be punishable by Jail time. with the South very Democratic, the DEMs continue to win the elections until in 1900 when a Presidential candidate for the Republicans is able to win the election after the DEMS split between Socialists, the Dixiecrats, and the Northern Democrats and thus split their vote, allowing for the Republican to win in what can be called a landslide. His biggest promise is to repeal the Negro Families Act, which causes MO, KY, TN, SC, VA (WV never left ITTL), NC, SC, GA, AL, TX, MS, AR, LA, and FL don't really take the idea very kindly and secede from the US, forming the FSA or Federal States of America. They basic promote the old federalist virtues of the southern DEMs. Finally, we have our 1900 ACW begin.

Could this be written realistically or is it far far to unrealisticto do so?
 
A few important issues here:

1) Breckinbridge won't get the nod, most of Douglas supporters where moderate on slavery and northerners who where not likely to support a strong slavery partisans who essentially ran a southern sectional campaign OTL.
2) If we forget about 1) the fact is they're is just no way in hell Breckinbridge would do that as anything involving some kind of abolitionism in the near future. That was out of bound for anybody except for the Radical Republicans, let alone a conservative southerner.
3) Even if we forget about both 1) and 2) the scenario still doesn't fit as it seem essentially build up to discontent everybody. Allot of southerners would most likely campaign for a return to old-style slavery and many in the north will denounce a slavery in all but name, things would boil over way before 1900.
 
A few important issues here:

1) Breckinbridge won't get the nod, most of Douglas supporters where moderate on slavery and northerners who where not likely to support a strong slavery partisans who essentially ran a southern sectional campaign OTL.
2) If we forget about 1) the fact is they're is just no way in hell Breckinbridge would do that as anything involving some kind of abolitionism in the near future. That was out of bound for anybody except for the Radical Republicans, let alone a conservative southerner.
3) Even if we forget about both 1) and 2) the scenario still doesn't fit as it seem essentially build up to discontent everybody. Allot of southerners would most likely campaign for a return to old-style slavery and many in the north will denounce a slavery in all but name, things would boil over way before 1900.

So would there be a more plausible way to make this happen?
 
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